Brinje-Grosuplje
vs
Celje
4 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | S. MatjazM. Roric | ||
| 18′ | V. Tusha | ||
| 33′ | D. Vuklisevic | ||
| 41′ | N. Koren | ||
| 50′ | T. Levanic | ||
| 57′ | N. Koren | ||
| 58′ | R. PozegD. Hrka | ||
| 58′ | L. BejgerM. Kvesic | ||
| 58′ | I. CalusicY. Dukuly | ||
| 69′ | D. VuklisevicM. Avdyli | ||
| 69′ | V. TushaA. Kucys | ||
| 76′ | A. Dionkou | ||
| 76′ | N. KorenG. Kurez | ||
| 76′ | J. KurticV. Hojc | ||
| 87′ | N. JovicevicN. Zrnec | ||
| 87′ | J. KovacV. Vlahovic | ||
| 90′ | P. Daniel | ||
| 90′ | V. Vlahovic |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje
| Probability | Brinje-Grosuplje | Draw | Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.1% | 24.8% | 51.1% |
| Market | 21.2% | 23.4% | 55.3% |
| Final | 21.9% | 23.8% | 54.3% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +1.4% | -4.2% |
Why Celje
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje attack and defence ratings
Brinje-Grosuplje
Celje
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje: result vs prediction
Brinje-Grosuplje 4 – 1 Celje
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 54.3% | 1.84 | -4.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 21.9% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Celje | 54.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celje win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje stats
Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje recent form
| Brinje-Grosuplje |
LLDDLW |
| Celje |
LDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje and Celje going into this match
Brinje-Grosuplje record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Celje record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Celje odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.2%, draw 23.4%, away 55.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.50 | 3.92 | 1.61 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Betano | 4.35 | 3.85 | 1.70 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.90 | 1.68 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.92 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.25 | 4.03 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.81 | 3.54 | 1.60 |
| Unibet | 4.00 | 3.55 | 1.68 |
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .