Celje
vs
Slovan Bratislava
1 – 2 Full time
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celje vs Slovan Bratislava
| Probability | Celje | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 30.6% | 36.4% |
| Market | 40.6% | 29.1% | 30.3% |
| Final | 38.7% | 29.5% | 31.8% |
| Edge | -7.6% | +1.5% | +6.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celje and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Celje and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings
Celje
Slovan Bratislava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava: result vs prediction
Celje 1 – 2 Slovan Bratislava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Play-offs fixtures
Before and after this match
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 38.7% | 2.58 | -7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celje | 38.7% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.2% |
| No | 50.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Celje win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 67.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.2% |
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava stats
Celje and Slovan Bratislava recent form
| Celje |
DWWWLD |
| Slovan Bratislava |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celje and Slovan Bratislava going into this match
Celje record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Slovan Bratislava | Celje | UEFA Champions League | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-30 | Slovan Bratislava | Celje | UEFA Champions League | 5-0 |
| 2024-07-24 | Celje | Slovan Bratislava | UEFA Champions League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Celje vs Slovan Bratislava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 29.1%, away 30.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.28 | 3.24 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.32 | 3.14 | 3.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 3.25 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.84 |
| Superbet | 2.35 | 3.25 | 3.15 |
| Unibet | 2.33 | 3.20 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .