Sabah FA
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5 – 2 Full time
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Probability | Sabah FA | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 28.1% | 21.3% |
| Market | 49.1% | 24.9% | 26.0% |
| Final | 49.5% | 25.7% | 24.8% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +3.2% | -4.6% |
Why Sabah FA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.92.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sabah FA and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Sabah FA and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings
Sabah FA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: result vs prediction
Sabah FA 5 – 2 Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Play-offs fixtures
Before and after this match
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sabah FA | 49.5% | 2.02 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sabah FA | 49.5% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sabah FA win | 26.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats
Sabah FA and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
| Sabah FA |
LWWLWW |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sabah FA and Hapoel Beer Sheva going into this match
Sabah FA record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Hapoel Beer Sheva record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Sabah FA | UEFA Champions League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 24.9%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.95 | 3.78 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.85 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.78 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.92 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.38 | 3.52 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.75 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.80 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .