Bodo/Glimt
vs
NEC Nijmegen
3 – 0 Full time
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen
| Probability | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.4% | 15.2% | 9.4% |
| Market | 64.3% | 18.7% | 17.0% |
| Final | 67.1% | 17.8% | 15.1% |
| Edge | +11.1% | -3.5% | -7.6% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.85 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bodo/Glimt below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.82
Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen attack and defence ratings
Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen: result vs prediction
Bodo/Glimt 3 – 0 NEC Nijmegen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Play-offs fixtures
Before and after this match
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 67.1% | 1.49 | +11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 67.1% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| NEC Nijmegen | 15.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 56.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 24.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 8.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 3-0 | 8.4% |
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen stats
Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen recent form
| Bodo/Glimt |
WWWDWW |
| NEC Nijmegen |
LWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | NEC Nijmegen | Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 18.7%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.47 | 5.00 | 5.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 5.07 | 5.75 |
| 888Sport | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 5.25 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.52 | 5.30 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.49 | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.85 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 5.07 | 5.82 |
| SBO | 1.41 | 4.73 | 5.32 |
| Superbet | 1.51 | 5.00 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.45 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .