NM Cupen
·
Full time
·Round 1
Fauske Sprint
vs
Bodo/Glimt
0 – 5 Full time
Fauske Sprint
3%
Draw
8%
Bodo/Glimt
89%
Fauske Sprint vs Bodo/Glimt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fauske Sprint vs Bodo/Glimt
| Probability | Fauske Sprint | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 3.4% | 7.8% | 88.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 3.4% | 7.8% | 88.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.79 vs 0.78.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
1%
Fauske Sprint and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
Fauske Sprint
0.78
Bodo/Glimt
3.79
Total expected goals: 4.57
Fauske Sprint and Bodo/Glimt attack and defence ratings
Fauske Sprint
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Bodo/Glimt
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.52 -48%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fauske Sprint vs Bodo/Glimt: result vs prediction
Fauske Sprint 0 – 5 Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fauske Sprint vs Bodo/Glimt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fauske Sprint | 3.4% |
| Draw | 7.8% | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 88.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 11.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 92.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 96.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 75.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.1% | |
| Loss | 11.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 9.4% |
| 0-4 | 9.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.5% |
Fauske Sprint vs Bodo/Glimt stats
Fauske Sprint and Bodo/Glimt recent form
| Fauske Sprint |
no matches on record |
| Bodo/Glimt |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.