Bodo/Glimt
vs
Rosenborg
4 – 2 Full time
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg
| Probability | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.3% | 21.9% | 21.8% |
| Market | 69.7% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Final | 66.4% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| Edge | -13.4% | +4.6% | +8.8% |
Why Bodo/Glimt
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.34.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg attack and defence ratings
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg: result vs prediction
Bodo/Glimt 4 – 2 Rosenborg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 66.4% | 1.51 | -13.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodo/Glimt | 66.4% |
| Draw | 18.4% | |
| Rosenborg | 15.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg stats
Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg recent form
| Bodo/Glimt |
WWWWWD |
| Rosenborg |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg going into this match
Bodo/Glimt record
- They have won 14 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Rosenborg record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Rosenborg | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Rosenborg | Bodo/Glimt | Eliteserien | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Bodo/Glimt | Rosenborg | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 69.7%, draw 17.3%, away 13.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.35 | 5.25 | 7.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 5.58 | 7.47 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.50 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.36 | 5.40 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 5.45 | 7.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.80 | 7.37 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.84 | 5.70 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 5.20 | 6.75 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .