Tromso
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 – 0 Full time
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Probability | Tromso | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| Market | 57.3% | 23.2% | 19.5% |
| Final | 59.3% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| Edge | +7.9% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
Why Tromso
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Tromso below the model: +7.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF attack and defence ratings
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF: result vs prediction
Tromso 0 – 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 59.3% | 1.69 | +7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tromso | 59.3% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tromso win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.8% |
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF stats
Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF recent form
| Tromso |
LWDLWW |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF |
WLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tromso and Sarpsborg 08 FF going into this match
Tromso record
- They have won 10 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sarpsborg 08 FF record
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Tromso | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Tromso | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien | 4-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | Tromso | Eliteserien | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.3%, draw 23.2%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.30 | 4.81 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 4.01 | 4.94 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.69 | 4.16 |
| Unibet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .