Lillestrom
vs
Fredrikstad
1 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | S. Owusu | ||
| 17′ | Frederik Elkær | ||
| 18′ | M. Nilsson | ||
| 37′ | F. Gulbrandsen | ||
| 46′ | F. ElkaerD. Bassi | ||
| 53′ | Benjamin Faraas | ||
| 59′ | S. SorlokkF. Ghebreyohannes | ||
| 59′ | S. LeachJ. Jezierski | ||
| 59′ | S. LaghzaouiG. Wesseh | ||
| 64′ | F. GulbrandsenT. Olsen | ||
| 65′ | B. Faraas | ||
| 66′ | S. OwusuS. Rafn | ||
| 72′ | E. KitolanoH. Woxen | ||
| 79′ | B. Faraas | ||
| 83′ | I. AmundsenU. Fredriksen | ||
| 86′ | Harald Woxen |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 423 | Accurate passes | 362 |
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad
| Probability | Lillestrom | Draw | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 31.2% | 40.4% |
| Market | 56.8% | 23.4% | 19.7% |
| Final | 49.7% | 25.4% | 24.9% |
| Edge | -28.4% | +7.7% | +20.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lillestrom and Fredrikstad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Lillestrom and Fredrikstad attack and defence ratings
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad: result vs prediction
Lillestrom 1 – 4 Fredrikstad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 49.7% | 2.01 | -28.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 49.7% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Fredrikstad | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lillestrom win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-1 | 11.9% |
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad stats
Lillestrom and Fredrikstad recent form
| Lillestrom |
WDDLLL |
| Fredrikstad |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lillestrom and Fredrikstad going into this match
Lillestrom record
- They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fredrikstad record
- They have won 8 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 18 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Fredrikstad | Lillestrom | Eliteserien | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.8%, draw 23.4%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.14 | 4.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.72 | 5.25 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.56 | 4.19 |
| Unibet | 1.61 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .