Lillestrom
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2 – 1 Full time
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Probability | Lillestrom | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.1% | 25.5% | 54.4% |
| Market | 64.7% | 21.2% | 14.1% |
| Final | 53.5% | 22.3% | 24.2% |
| Edge | -44.6% | +4.3% | +40.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack and defence ratings
Lillestrom
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: result vs prediction
Lillestrom 2 – 1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Lillestrom
Before and after this match
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 53.5% | 1.87 | -44.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 53.5% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lillestrom win | 7.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.6% | |
| Loss | 80.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.8% |
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats
Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
| Lillestrom |
DDLLLW |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
WDWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Lillestrom | UEFA Europa League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 21.2%, away 14.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.49 | 4.30 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.62 | 7.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.25 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.45 | 6.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42 | 4.66 | 7.29 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.91 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.46 | 4.55 | 6.60 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.40 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .