Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
Tirana
3 – 0 Full time
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana
| Probability | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 26.5% | 31.4% |
| Market | 56.8% | 25.2% | 18.0% |
| Final | 53.2% | 25.5% | 21.3% |
| Edge | -14.7% | +1.3% | +13.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana: result vs prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3 – 0 Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 53.2% | 1.88 | -14.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 53.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Tirana | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 22.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.7% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana stats
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Tirana recent form
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
DWLDDW |
| Tirana |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Tirana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.8%, draw 25.2%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.60 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.56 | 5.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.56 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.57 | 4.69 |
| Superbet | 1.62 | 3.65 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .