Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 2

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana

3 – 1 Full time

12′P. Bernardoni
13′T. Kis
45′E. Mala
59′E. ArifiP. Martelo
59′E. MalaD. Wotlai
67′V. Zogos
71′D. Hazrollaj
73′D. HazrollajE. Daci
79′M. Boci
80′M. Boci
83′X. Macolli
84′B. BerishaH. H. Fresneda
84′M. A. Umejiego
88′M. A. UmejiegoK. Daci
88′S. KallakuS. Huna
90′M. BociG. Kuqi

Stadiumi Niko Dovana

Teuta Durrës 33%
Draw 32%
Tirana 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Teuta Durrës vs Tirana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTeuta DurrësDrawTirana
Model33.2%32.2%34.7%
Market———
Final33.2%32.2%34.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Tirana

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Teuta Durrës ↓ / Tirana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Teuta Durrës and Tirana expected goals

Teuta Durrës 1.06
Tirana 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.16

Teuta Durrës and Tirana attack and defence ratings

Teuta Durrës

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Tirana

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana: result vs prediction

Teuta Durrës 3 – 1 Tirana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 2 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tirana 34.7% 2.88 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 67.8% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Teuta Durrës33.2%
Draw32.2%
Tirana34.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.6%
Under 2.563.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.3%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)66.8%
Handicap -1Tirana win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-012.9%
0-111.3%

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana stats

Teuta Durrës and Tirana recent form

newest first
Teuta Durrës DWWDLL
Tirana LWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Teuta Durrës wins 2Draws 1Tirana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Teuta DurrësTiranaAlbania Superliga0-1
2026-02-22TiranaTeuta DurrësAlbania Superliga0-1
2025-12-13Teuta DurrësTiranaAlbania Superliga1-1
2025-10-18TiranaTeuta DurrësAlbania Superliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Teuta Durrës vs Tirana odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.