Albania Superliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 2
Teuta Durrës
vs
Tirana
3 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | P. Bernardoni | ||
| 13′ | T. Kis | ||
| 45′ | E. Mala | ||
| 59′ | E. ArifiP. Martelo | ||
| 59′ | E. MalaD. Wotlai | ||
| 67′ | V. Zogos | ||
| 71′ | D. Hazrollaj | ||
| 73′ | D. HazrollajE. Daci | ||
| 79′ | M. Boci | ||
| 80′ | M. Boci | ||
| 83′ | X. Macolli | ||
| 84′ | B. BerishaH. H. Fresneda | ||
| 84′ | M. A. Umejiego | ||
| 88′ | M. A. UmejiegoK. Daci | ||
| 88′ | S. KallakuS. Huna | ||
| 90′ | M. BociG. Kuqi |
Teuta Durrës
33%
Draw
32%
Tirana
35%
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Teuta Durrës vs Tirana
| Probability | Teuta Durrës | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 32.2% | 34.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.2% | 32.2% | 34.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tirana
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Teuta Durrës and Tirana expected goals
Teuta Durrës
1.06
Tirana
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.16
Teuta Durrës and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Teuta Durrës
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Tirana
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana: result vs prediction
Teuta Durrës 3 – 1 Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 33.2% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Tirana | 34.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-1 | 11.3% |
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana stats
Teuta Durrës and Tirana recent form
| DWWDLL | |
| LWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Teuta Durrës vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
1Teuta Durrës wins
2Draws
1Tirana wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.