Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Laci vs Teuta Durrës

1 – 3 Full time

9′S. Kallaku
13′D. Wotlai
18′A. Toli
30′E. SamuelG. Gamarra
31′H. Tola
44′M. A. Umejiego
46′K. AjaziO. Cena
46′A. KurtiE. Ndubuisi
53′S. Kalaj
63′S. KalajJ. Latifaj
63′M. A. UmejiegoK. Daci
63′E. ArifiP. Martelo
64′S. Bibo
75′E. MalaX. Macolli
86′H. TolaE. Yagmur
87′E. Stafa
90′M. BociS. Huna
90′S. KallakuG. Kuqi
90′P. Martelo
Laci 42%
Draw 31%
Teuta Durrës 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Laci vs Teuta Durrës overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs Teuta Durrës

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaciDrawTeuta Durrës
Model44.1%30.1%25.8%
Market41.8%30.9%27.3%
Final42.4%30.7%27.0%
Edge+2.4%-0.8%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Laci

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.98.
  • The market prices Laci below the model: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laci ↓ / Teuta Durrës → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Laci and Teuta Durrës expected goals

Laci 1.35
Teuta Durrës 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.33

Laci and Teuta Durrës attack and defence ratings

Laci

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Teuta Durrës

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laci vs Teuta Durrës: result vs prediction

Laci 1 – 3 Teuta Durrës

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Laci vs Teuta Durrës markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Laci 42.4% 2.36 +2.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laci42.4%
Draw30.7%
Teuta Durrës27.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.3%
Under 2.558.7%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.0%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1Laci win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss55.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-011.9%
0-011.0%

Laci vs Teuta Durrës stats

Laci and Teuta Durrës recent form

newest first
Laci WD
Teuta Durrës WDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Laci vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Laci wins 3Draws 2Teuta Durrës wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-12Teuta DurrësLaciSuperliga1-0
2025-02-16LaciTeuta DurrësSuperliga3-0
2024-12-04Teuta DurrësLaciSuperliga1-1
2024-09-28LaciTeuta DurrësSuperliga0-1
2024-04-07Teuta DurrësLaciSuperliga0-1
2024-01-28LaciTeuta DurrësSuperliga1-1
2023-11-05Teuta DurrësLaciSuperliga1-1
2023-09-15LaciTeuta DurrësSuperliga6-1
2023-04-09Teuta DurrësLaciSuperliga1-2
2023-01-30LaciTeuta DurrësSuperliga4-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laci vs Teuta Durrës odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 30.9%, away 27.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 2.94 3.32
Bet365 2.15 2.90 3.30
Marathonbet 2.16 2.92 3.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.