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Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër

2 – 0 Full time

23′C. Dros
35′H. Nerguti
35′E. Murataj
46′S. BiziP. Bardhi
46′C. DrosM. Tounkara
46′K. QatoH. Marku
46′K. AjaziO. Cena
50′O. Cena
59′F. Dulysse
63′F. DulysseE. Tafili
74′A. Mehmeti
78′S. BiboS. Kalaj
89′A. Traore
90′E. MustaX. Avduli
90′E. Tafili
90′G. GamarraE. Samuel
Laci 39%
Draw 28%
Vllaznia Shkodër 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaciDrawVllaznia Shkodër
Model56.0%23.2%20.8%
Market33.4%29.1%37.6%
Final39.0%27.6%33.4%
Edge+22.6%-5.8%-16.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Laci

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.18.
  • The market prices Laci below the model: +22.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laci ↓ / Vllaznia Shkod → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Laci and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals

Laci 2.03
Vllaznia Shkodër 1.18

Total expected goals: 3.21

Laci and Vllaznia Shkodër attack and defence ratings

Laci

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Vllaznia Shkodër

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.50 +50%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër: result vs prediction

Laci 2 – 0 Vllaznia Shkodër

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Laci 39.0% 2.56 +22.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.0% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laci39.0%
Draw27.6%
Vllaznia Shkodër33.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.2%
Under 2.537.8%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.6%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Laci win34.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss44.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër stats

Laci and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form

newest first
Laci LWD
Vllaznia Shkodër LDDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Laci wins 5Draws 2Vllaznia Shkodër wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-29Vllaznia ShkodërLaciFriendlies Clubs3-0
2025-04-27Vllaznia ShkodërLaciSuperliga1-1
2025-03-01LaciVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga2-2
2024-12-14Vllaznia ShkodërLaciSuperliga2-1
2024-10-19LaciVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga3-1
2024-04-13Vllaznia ShkodërLaciSuperliga1-2
2024-02-04LaciVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga1-1
2023-11-24Vllaznia ShkodërLaciSuperliga0-0
2023-09-19LaciVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga2-1
2023-05-25Vllaznia ShkodërLaciSuperliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laci vs Vllaznia Shkodër odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 29.1%, away 37.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.70 3.08 2.39
Bet365 2.60 3.25 2.40
Betano 2.82 3.05 2.32
Betfair 2.63 3.25 2.38
Marathonbet 2.70 3.08 2.39
Pinnacle 2.67 3.03 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.69 ▲ +0.10
X 3.08 ▼ -0.10
2 2.38 ▼ -0.06

4 snapshots recorded, from .