Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës

0 – 2 Full time

35′E. Musta
45′M. A. Umejiego
46′S. BiziE. Tafili
51′M. A. Umejiego
56′R. DwumfourX. Avduli
58′A. Fangaj
65′D. WotlaiX. Macolli
68′M. A. UmejiegoP. Martelo
68′E. MalaA. Jazxhi
71′M. TounkaraD. Perez
72′C. DrosP. Bardhi
73′V. Zogos
80′K. QatoH. Marku
87′A. ToliG. Bajrami
87′S. KallakuK. Daci
90′H. Marku

Loro Borici Stadium

Vllaznia Shkodër 33%
Draw 29%
Teuta Durrës 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVllaznia ShkodërDrawTeuta Durrës
Model18.5%24.4%57.1%
Market37.3%30.2%32.5%
Final32.6%28.8%38.7%
Edge-18.7%-5.8%+24.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Teuta Durrës

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.99.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Teuta Durrës below the model: +24.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vllaznia Shkod ↓ / Teuta Durrës → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 10% 10% 6% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Vllaznia Shkodër and Teuta Durrës expected goals

Vllaznia Shkodër 0.99
Teuta Durrës 1.88

Total expected goals: 2.87

Vllaznia Shkodër and Teuta Durrës attack and defence ratings

Vllaznia Shkodër

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Teuta Durrës

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës: result vs prediction

Vllaznia Shkodër 0 – 2 Teuta Durrës

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Teuta Durrës 38.7% 2.59 +24.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.8% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.9% 2.33 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vllaznia Shkodër32.6%
Draw28.8%
Teuta Durrës38.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.8%
Under 2.545.2%
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%
No45.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.3%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1Teuta Durrës win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss42.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
0-210.0%
1-29.9%

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës stats

Vllaznia Shkodër and Teuta Durrës recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Vllaznia Shkodër wins 3Draws 1Teuta Durrës wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Vllaznia ShkodërTeuta DurrësAlbania Superliga1-0
2026-02-01Teuta DurrësVllaznia ShkodërAlbania Superliga0-1
2025-11-28Vllaznia ShkodërTeuta DurrësAlbania Superliga0-1
2025-09-21Teuta DurrësVllaznia ShkodërAlbania Superliga1-1
2025-03-30Vllaznia ShkodërTeuta DurrësSuperliga0-0
2025-01-31Teuta DurrësVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga1-3
2024-11-23Vllaznia ShkodërTeuta DurrësSuperliga2-1
2024-09-15Teuta DurrësVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga1-2
2024-04-20Teuta DurrësVllaznia ShkodërSuperliga0-0
2024-02-10Vllaznia ShkodërTeuta DurrësSuperliga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Teuta Durrës odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 30.2%, away 32.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.44 2.96 2.67
Bet365 2.40 3.00 2.75
Betano 2.22 3.00 3.10
Betfair 2.40 2.90 2.80
Marathonbet 2.47 2.95 2.64

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▼ -0.05
X 2.96 ▼ -0.03
2 2.75 ▲ +0.10

6 snapshots recorded, from .