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Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci

3 – 1 Full time

22′Lorran
25′G. Gamarra
40′S. Meta
45′G. Gamarra
45′U. Ismaili
46′S. MetaK. Qefalija
46′K. AjaziE. Samuel
56′L. Vila
65′A. TraoreO. Cena
65′E. NdubuisiS. Kalaj
66′H. BerishaF. Farruku
66′R. Silva-RichardsI. Mustapha
66′E. QardakuA. Alhassan
78′S. BiboD. Ogah
83′LorranF. Ruci
90′F. Ruci

Elbasan Arena, Elbasani

Dinamo Tirana 50%
Draw 26%
Laci 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Tirana vs Laci

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDinamo TiranaDrawLaci
Model51.7%24.4%23.9%
Market49.0%26.8%24.2%
Final49.6%26.2%24.1%
Edge+2.8%-2.4%-0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Tirana

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Dinamo Tirana below the model: +2.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dinamo Tirana ↓ / Laci → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Dinamo Tirana and Laci expected goals

Dinamo Tirana 1.90
Laci 1.24

Total expected goals: 3.14

Dinamo Tirana and Laci attack and defence ratings

Dinamo Tirana

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Laci

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci: result vs prediction

Dinamo Tirana 3 – 1 Laci

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Tirana 49.6% 2.01 +2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.3% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dinamo Tirana49.6%
Draw26.2%
Laci24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.7%
Under 2.539.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)50.4%
Handicap -1Dinamo Tirana win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss48.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci stats

Dinamo Tirana and Laci recent form

newest first
Dinamo Tirana WWWLLD
Laci WLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Dinamo Tirana wins 3Draws 3Laci wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-19LaciDinamo TiranaSuperliga1-0
2025-02-21Dinamo TiranaLaciSuperliga2-0
2024-12-08LaciDinamo TiranaSuperliga0-0
2024-10-04Dinamo TiranaLaciSuperliga2-1
2024-04-27Dinamo TiranaLaciSuperliga0-0
2024-02-17LaciDinamo TiranaSuperliga1-1
2024-01-24LaciDinamo TiranaCup1-0
2023-12-03Dinamo TiranaLaciSuperliga2-0
2023-09-28LaciDinamo TiranaSuperliga0-1
2022-04-17LaciDinamo TiranaSuperliga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dinamo Tirana vs Laci odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.5%, draw 26.8%, away 24.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.34 3.75
Bet365 1.80 3.50 3.60
Betano 1.98 3.30 3.35
Betfair 1.90 3.50 3.50
Marathonbet 1.82 3.34 3.65
William Hill 1.85 3.10 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▼ -0.17
X 3.34 ▲ +0.24
2 3.70 ▲ +0.30

6 snapshots recorded, from .