Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana

2 – 4 Full time

10′H. Berisha
14′A. Aliu
30′E. Hoxhallari
32′R. Silva-Richards
46′S. MetaE. Qardaku
48′D. Fadairo
53′E. HoxhallariA. Alhassan
57′A. Alhassan
59′P. Buxhelaj
60′H. BerishaF. Farruku
60′R. Silva-RichardsI. Mustapha
67′A. Doumbia
69′A. BintsoukaA. Keko
69′A. AliuK. Ogunleye
77′E. Qardaku
77′K. Ogunleye
81′R. HumanB. Jatta
81′D. FadairoE. Himallari
81′A. DoumbiaR. Toma
88′M. AyodejiF. Ruci
90′I. Mustapha

Arena e Demave, Tirana

Partizani 31%
Draw 30%
Dinamo Tirana 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPartizaniDrawDinamo Tirana
Model30.9%26.0%43.1%
Market31.1%31.3%37.6%
Final31.1%30.0%38.9%
Edge-0.2%-5.3%+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Tirana

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Dinamo Tirana below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Partizani ↓ / Dinamo Tirana → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Partizani and Dinamo Tirana expected goals

Partizani 1.39
Dinamo Tirana 1.67

Total expected goals: 3.05

Partizani and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings

Partizani

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Dinamo Tirana

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana: result vs prediction

Partizani 2 – 4 Dinamo Tirana

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Tirana 38.9% 2.57 +5.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.9% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.9% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Partizani31.1%
Draw30.0%
Dinamo Tirana38.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.9%
Under 2.541.1%
Both teams to scoreYes61.9%
No38.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)68.9%
Handicap -1Dinamo Tirana win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss56.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-29.1%
2-17.6%

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana stats

Partizani and Dinamo Tirana recent form

newest first
Partizani WLDWLL
Dinamo Tirana WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Partizani wins 2Draws 3Dinamo Tirana wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10PartizaniDinamo TiranaAlbania Superliga2-1
2026-03-09Dinamo TiranaPartizaniAlbania Superliga0-2
2025-12-23PartizaniDinamo TiranaAlbania Superliga1-3
2025-10-29Dinamo TiranaPartizaniAlbania Superliga2-0
2025-05-10Dinamo TiranaPartizaniSuperliga1-2
2025-03-27Dinamo TiranaPartizaniSuperliga1-0
2025-01-25PartizaniDinamo TiranaSuperliga1-1
2024-11-09Dinamo TiranaPartizaniSuperliga1-2
2024-09-12PartizaniDinamo TiranaSuperliga2-2
2024-04-20PartizaniDinamo TiranaSuperliga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 31.3%, away 37.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.98 2.88 2.40
Bet365 2.60 2.88 2.60
Betano 2.90 2.87 2.40
Betfair 2.80 3.00 2.40
Marathonbet 2.91 2.88 2.38
Pinnacle 2.89 2.84 2.31

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▲ +0.33
X 2.88 ▼ -0.12
2 2.40 ▼ -0.17

2 snapshots recorded, from .