Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani

2 – 1 Full time

31′K. Loukili
38′N. Ajetovikj
46′N. AjetovikjZ. Aliyev
46′D. HoxhaD. Adjessa
55′A. Janjeva
62′A. JanjevaA. Bintsouka
62′A. AleksiI. Diabate
71′A. Albanese
73′V. Murataj
74′J. MontenegroI. Gruda
75′A. DoumbiaK. Ogunleye
87′A. YagoE. Ndreca
90′A. AliuR. Toma
90′V. MuratajS. Sidibe

Demrozi Stadium

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 65%
Draw 22%
Partizani 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEgnatia RrogozhinëDrawPartizani
Model77.8%13.1%9.2%
Market60.2%25.0%14.8%
Final64.6%22.0%13.4%
Edge+17.6%-11.9%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.30 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Egnatia Rrogozhinë below the model: +17.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Egnatia Rrogoz ↓ / Partizani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 8% 4+ 13% 15% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani expected goals

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3.30
Partizani 1.17

Total expected goals: 4.47

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani attack and defence ratings

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Attack 1.65 +65%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Partizani

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.55 +55%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani: result vs prediction

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 – 1 Partizani

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 64.6% 1.55 +17.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.3% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.6% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë win 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Egnatia Rrogozhinë64.6%
Draw22.0%
Partizani13.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.3%
Under 2.517.7%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.6%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)35.4%
Handicap -1Egnatia Rrogozhinë win60.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss22.2%
Correct score (top 3)3-18.0%
2-17.3%
3-06.9%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani stats

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Partizani recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins 3Draws 3Partizani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizaniAlbania Superliga2-0
2026-02-28PartizaniEgnatia RrogozhinëAlbania Superliga2-0
2025-12-19Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizaniAlbania Superliga2-1
2025-10-25PartizaniEgnatia RrogozhinëAlbania Superliga0-0
2025-05-05Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizaniSuperliga0-0
2025-04-23PartizaniEgnatia RrogozhinëCup0-2
2025-04-12PartizaniEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga1-0
2025-04-03Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizaniCup0-1
2025-02-15Egnatia RrogozhinëPartizaniSuperliga2-0
2024-12-05PartizaniEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Partizani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 25.0%, away 14.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 3.56 6.55
Bet365 1.50 3.70 5.75
Betano 1.57 3.55 5.30
Betfair 1.44 3.90 6.00
Marathonbet 1.47 3.56 6.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▼ -0.09
X 3.56 ▲ +0.02
2 6.00 ▲ +1.00

6 snapshots recorded, from .