Partizani
vs
Tirana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tirana
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Partizani vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partizani vs Tirana
| Probability | Partizani | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.8% | 22.3% | 53.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.8% | 22.3% | 53.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.40.
Partizani vs Tirana match preview
In the upcoming Albania Superliga match, Partizani faces Tirana, with model probabilities indicating a 24% chance of a Partizani victory, a 22% likelihood of a draw, and a 54% chance for Tirana to win. The expected goals suggest Partizani could score 1.40 while Tirana is projected at 2.16, highlighting a potential advantage for the visitors.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Partizani recording two losses and a draw in their last five matches, while Tirana has two draws and three wins in the same period. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2 in favor of Tirana, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 68%. The head-to-head record in the last four encounters stands at two wins each for both teams.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partizani and Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Partizani and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Partizani
Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partizani vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partizani | 23.8% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Tirana | 53.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 46.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 1-3 | 6.7% |
Partizani vs Tirana stats
Partizani vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Tirana | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Partizani | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tirana | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Partizani | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.