Partizani
vs
Tirana
1 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | R. Xhixha | ||
| 28′ | L. Vitija | ||
| 36′ | E. Himallari | ||
| 45′ | P. Myslovic | ||
| 56′ | Partizani | ||
| 79′ | Tirana | ||
| 85′ | Tirana | ||
| 89′ | Partizani |
Partizani vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partizani vs Tirana
| Probability | Partizani | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 22.3% | 54.0% |
| Market | 38.2% | 29.4% | 32.4% |
| Final | 34.6% | 27.6% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -3.6% | -1.8% | +5.4% |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.40.
- The market prices Tirana below our published probability: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partizani and Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Partizani and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Partizani
Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Partizani vs Tirana: result vs prediction
Partizani 1 – 3 Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partizani vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 37.8% | 2.65 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partizani | 34.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Tirana | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 1-3 | 6.7% |
Partizani vs Tirana stats
Partizani and Tirana recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partizani and Tirana going into this match
Partizani record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Tirana record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Partizani vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Tirana | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Partizani | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Tirana | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Partizani | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-07 | Tirana | Partizani | Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Partizani | Tirana | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Tirana | Partizani | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-21 | Partizani | Tirana | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Tirana | Partizani | Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2024-02-16 | Partizani | Tirana | Superliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Partizani vs Tirana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.2%, draw 29.4%, away 32.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.08 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.00 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.08 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .