Tirana
vs
Laci
1 – 0 Full time
| 46′ | A. TraoreS. Kalaj | ||
| 46′ | O. QerimajP. Myslovic | ||
| 54′ | G. Gamarra | ||
| 56′ | A. Kurti | ||
| 65′ | D. HazrollajE. Daci | ||
| 66′ | K. AjaziA. U. Muhammad | ||
| 74′ | A. Krymi | ||
| 78′ | E. Daci | ||
| 84′ | T. KisE. Tare | ||
| 87′ | B. Berisha | ||
| 89′ | H. TolaJ. Latifaj | ||
| 89′ | S. BiboM. Aderibigbe | ||
| 90′ | B. BerishaA. Bami | ||
| 90′ | F. AlvarezE. Meta |
Tirana vs Laci overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tirana vs Laci
| Probability | Tirana | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 19.0% | 13.0% |
| Market | 50.1% | 27.2% | 22.8% |
| Final | 54.6% | 25.1% | 20.3% |
| Edge | +17.9% | -8.2% | -9.7% |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.00.
- The market prices Tirana below the model: +17.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tirana and Laci expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Tirana and Laci attack and defence ratings
Tirana
Laci
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tirana vs Laci: result vs prediction
Tirana 1 – 0 Laci
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tirana vs Laci markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 54.6% | 1.83 | +17.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 54.6% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Laci | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 46.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 2-0 | 9.5% | |
| 1-1 | 8.7% |
Tirana vs Laci stats
Tirana and Laci recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tirana and Laci going into this match
Tirana record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Laci record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tirana vs Laci head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-06 | Tirana | Laci | Superliga | 4-1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Laci | Tirana | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Tirana | Laci | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-19 | Laci | Tirana | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Laci | Tirana | Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-26 | Tirana | Laci | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-10 | Laci | Tirana | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-03 | Tirana | Laci | Superliga | 0-3 |
| 2023-05-21 | Laci | Tirana | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-11 | Tirana | Laci | Superliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tirana vs Laci odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 27.2%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.30 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.45 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.30 | 3.84 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .