Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
Vllaznia Shkodër
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër
| Probability | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Vllaznia Shkodër |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.0% | 14.6% | 7.4% |
| Market | 60.0% | 24.2% | 15.8% |
| Final | 64.5% | 21.8% | 13.7% |
| Edge | +18.0% | -9.6% | -8.4% |
Why Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.79 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Egnatia Rrogozhinë below the model: +18.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë is favored to win against Vllaznia Shkodër, with a probability of 80% according to our model. The expected goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë stand at 2.95, while Vllaznia Shkodër is projected to score only 0.79. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 10% chance of occurring. Recent form shows Egnatia Rrogozhinë winning three of their last five matches, while Vllaznia Shkodër has struggled, recording one win and four matches without a victory.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 72% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 52% chance of scoring at least once. The head-to-head record in the last five encounters features Egnatia Rrogozhinë with one win, two draws, and Vllaznia Shkodër with two wins, indicating a competitive history between the two sides.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër attack and defence ratings
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vllaznia Shkodër
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 64.5% | 1.55 | +18.0% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 64.5% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 13.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 58.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 22.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.7% |
| 3-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.6% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër stats
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
DWWLWW |
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër season so far
Egnatia Rrogozhinë record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vllaznia Shkodër record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-22 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga | 0-4 |
| 2025-03-27 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-26 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-11 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Superliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.4%, draw 24.2%, away 16.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.70 | 5.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.70 | 5.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .