Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
Tirana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tirana
0 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana
| Probability | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.3% | 21.5% | 63.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 15.3% | 21.5% | 63.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana match preview
Vllaznia Shkodër faces Tirana in the Albania Superliga with a significant disparity in predicted outcomes. According to our model, Vllaznia has a 16% chance of winning, while Tirana stands at 62%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 10% probability, and there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Expected goals for Vllaznia are at 0.98, compared to Tirana's 2.08.
Recent form shows Vllaznia Shkodër struggling with one win in their last six matches, while Tirana has secured three wins in their last six. In their last four head-to-head encounters, Vllaznia has two wins, Tirana has one, and there has been one draw. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana attack and defence ratings
Vllaznia Shkodër
Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 15.3% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Tirana | 63.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.6% |
| No | 43.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 40.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 0-2 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana stats
Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana recent form
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
LWLLLD |
| Tirana |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vllaznia Shkodër and Tirana season so far
Vllaznia Shkodër record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tirana record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-11 | Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-10 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Tirana | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 3-4 |
| 2024-08-25 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Tirana | Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-08 | Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-02 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Tirana | Superliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.