Tirana
vs
Dinamo Tirana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tirana
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.20.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana
| Probability | Tirana | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 23.8% | 22.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.2% | 23.8% | 22.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.20.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana match preview
Tirana faces Dinamo Tirana in the Albania Superliga, with our model assigning a 54% probability of a Tirana victory, while a draw stands at 24% and Dinamo Tirana at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams are expected to score, with a 61% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form shows Tirana with a record of W-W-D-D-W-L, while Dinamo Tirana has performed well lately, winning their last four matches after two losses. In their last four encounters, Tirana has not secured a win, recording 2 draws and 2 losses against Dinamo Tirana. The expected goals for Tirana are 1.96, compared to 1.20 for Dinamo Tirana, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings
Tirana
Dinamo Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 54.2% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 45.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana stats
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana recent form
| Tirana |
WWDDWL |
| Dinamo Tirana |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tirana and Dinamo Tirana season so far
Tirana record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Dinamo Tirana record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tirana vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Dinamo Tirana | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tirana | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dinamo Tirana | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 6-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Tirana | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.