Tirana
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tirana
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Probability | Tirana | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.2% | 26.2% | 32.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.2% | 26.2% | 32.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë match preview
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë are set to clash in the Albania Superliga, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Tirana has a 38% chance of winning, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë stands at 36%, and the probability of a draw is 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Tirana, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams are expected to be competitive, with anticipated goals of 1.55 for Tirana and 1.52 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
In terms of recent form, Tirana has recorded a sequence of L-W-W-D-D-W, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë has shown a mixed performance with D-W-D-W-W-L. The head-to-head record in their last five encounters favors Egnatia Rrogozhinë with three wins compared to Tirana's two. The probabilities suggest a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (59%) and both teams scoring (62%).
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack and defence ratings
Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 41.2% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 58.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 7.8% |
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
| Tirana |
LWWDDW |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
LDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë season so far
Tirana record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.