Tirana
vs
Teuta Durrës
Garuda Lions Prediction: Teuta Durrës
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tirana vs Teuta Durrës
| Probability | Tirana | Draw | Teuta Durrës |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 33.1% | 38.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.4% | 33.1% | 38.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Teuta Durrës
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës match preview
Tirana faces Teuta Durrës in the Albania Superliga with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Tirana has recorded one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. In contrast, Teuta Durrës has been in better shape, with four wins and a draw in their last five games. According to our model, the probabilities for this match are 26% for Tirana to win, 32% for a draw, and 42% for Teuta Durrës to secure the victory.
The expected goals for the match indicate a tighter contest, with Tirana projected to score 0.90 and Teuta Durrës at 1.22. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Additionally, there is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tirana and Teuta Durrës expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Tirana and Teuta Durrës attack and defence ratings
Tirana
Teuta Durrës
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tirana | 28.4% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Teuta Durrës | 38.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.5% | |
| 0-1 | 13.3% |
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës stats
Tirana and Teuta Durrës recent form
| Tirana |
LDLWWD |
| Teuta Durrës |
LLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tirana and Teuta Durrës season so far
Tirana record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Teuta Durrës record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Tirana vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-09 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Teuta Durrës | Tirana | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-29 | Tirana | Teuta Durrës | Superliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.