Albania Superliga · ·Matchday 11

Laci vs Partizani

Garuda Lions Prediction: Laci

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.06.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Laci 53%
Draw 25%
Partizani 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Laci wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Laci vs Partizani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs Partizani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaciDrawPartizani
Model53.5%25.4%21.2%
Market———
Final53.5%25.4%21.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Laci

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.06.

Laci vs Partizani match preview

Laci enters this match with a 59% probability of winning against Partizani, who has an 18% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Laci, with a 10% likelihood. Both teams have struggled recently, with Laci recording one win in their last six matches and Partizani losing all of their last six games.

The expected goals for Laci stand at 2.03, while Partizani's expected goals are significantly lower at 1.04. There is a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 57% chance of finding the net. In their last ten encounters, Laci has secured two wins, while Partizani has four victories and there have been four draws.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laci ↓ / Partizani → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Laci and Partizani expected goals

Laci 1.79
Partizani 1.06

Total expected goals: 2.85

Laci and Partizani attack and defence ratings

Laci

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Partizani

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.59 +59%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Laci vs Partizani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Laci 53.5% 1.87 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.3% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.6% 1.80 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.5% 2.15 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laci53.5%
Draw25.4%
Partizani21.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.6%
No44.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.8%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.5%
Handicap -1Laci win30.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss46.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-19.8%
2-09.3%

Laci vs Partizani stats

Laci and Partizani recent form

newest first
Laci LDWLLL
Partizani WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Laci and Partizani season so far

league record

Laci record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Partizani record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Laci vs Partizani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Laci wins 4Draws 4Partizani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29PartizaniLaciAlbania Superliga1-2
2025-03-30PartizaniLaciSuperliga1-0
2025-02-25PartizaniLaciCup2-1
2025-02-05LaciPartizaniCup0-0
2025-02-01LaciPartizaniSuperliga0-0
2024-11-24PartizaniLaciSuperliga1-0
2024-09-16LaciPartizaniSuperliga1-1
2024-03-30LaciPartizaniSuperliga1-1
2024-01-20PartizaniLaciSuperliga1-2
2023-11-01LaciPartizaniSuperliga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laci vs Partizani odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Laci Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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