Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
Vora
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Egnatia Rrogozhinë is the favourite, not a value bet.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora
| Probability | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Vora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 24.9% | 24.8% |
| Market | 66.2% | 20.6% | 13.2% |
| Final | 62.2% | 21.6% | 16.1% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +1.1% | +2.9% |
Why Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.25.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.4% per unit staked (our 62.2% × 1.44 − 1).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë enters this match with a 59% probability of winning against Vora, who has a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Egnatia has shown solid recent form with two wins and a draw in their last three matches, while Vora's recent performance includes two wins and three draws.
In terms of expected goals, Egnatia Rrogozhinë is forecasted to score 2.06, compared to Vora's 1.09. Additionally, there is a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 59% probability. Historically, Egnatia has a favorable record against Vora, with 6 wins and 1 draw in their last 10 encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora attack and defence ratings
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Vora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 62.2% | 1.61 | -4.0% | 1.44 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 62.2% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Vora | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.7% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora stats
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora recent form
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
LWWLDW |
| Vora |
DWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vora season so far
Egnatia Rrogozhinë record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vora record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vora | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vora | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-14 | Vora | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vora | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Vora | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2017-03-05 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A | 2-1 |
| 2016-10-30 | Vora | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2nd Division - Group A | 1-2 |
| 2016-04-03 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A | 1-0 |
| 2015-11-08 | Vora | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2nd Division - Group A | 2-1 |
| 2014-04-13 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Vora | 2nd Division - Group A | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vora odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 20.6%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.33 | 7.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.15 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.33 | 7.50 |