Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
AF Elbasani
Garuda Lions Prediction: AF Elbasani
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani
| Probability | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | AF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 27.9% | 43.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.7% | 27.9% | 43.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AF Elbasani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani match preview
Vllaznia Shkodër faces AF Elbasani in the Albania Superliga with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Vllaznia has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while AF Elbasani has managed two wins and four draws in the same period. According to our model, Vllaznia Shkodër has a 32% chance of winning, compared to AF Elbasani's 40%, with a 28% probability of a draw.
The expected goals for the match indicate a competitive encounter, with Vllaznia Shkodër projected at 1.28 and AF Elbasani at 1.44. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani attack and defence ratings
Vllaznia Shkodër
AF Elbasani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 28.7% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| AF Elbasani | 43.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani stats
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani recent form
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
DLWLWL |
| AF Elbasani |
WWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vllaznia Shkodër and AF Elbasani season so far
Vllaznia Shkodër record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AF Elbasani record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs AF Elbasani head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-27 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-25 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Cup | 3-3 |
| 2025-02-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | AF Elbasani | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-05 | AF Elbasani | Vllaznia Shkodër | Cup | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.