Skenderbeu Korce
vs
Vllaznia Shkodër
Garuda Lions Prediction: Skenderbeu Korce
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër
| Probability | Skenderbeu Korce | Draw | Vllaznia Shkodër |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 25.4% | 18.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.9% | 25.4% | 18.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Skenderbeu Korce
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.94.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër match preview
Skenderbeu Korce is favored to win against Vllaznia Shkodër, with a 56% probability according to our model. The expected goals for Skenderbeu Korce stand at 1.78, while Vllaznia Shkodër is projected to score 0.94. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring at an 11% probability. Recent form shows Skenderbeu Korce with two wins, one loss, and three draws, while Vllaznia Shkodër has one win and five losses in their last six matches.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this match is 51%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 52%. In their last head-to-head encounter, there were no wins for either side, with one draw recorded. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër attack and defence ratings
Skenderbeu Korce
Vllaznia Shkodër
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 55.9% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Skenderbeu Korce win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.4% |
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër stats
Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form
| Skenderbeu Korce |
WWLDDL |
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Skenderbeu Korce and Vllaznia Shkodër season so far
Skenderbeu Korce record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Vllaznia Shkodër record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Skenderbeu Korce | Albania Superliga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.