Teuta Durrës
vs
Partizani
Garuda Lions Prediction: Teuta Durrës
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 0.55.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Teuta Durrës vs Partizani
| Probability | Teuta Durrës | Draw | Partizani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 80.7% | 14.2% | 5.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Teuta Durrës
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.60 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani match preview
Teuta Durrës enters this match against Partizani with a strong probability of winning at 85%, reflecting their recent form of five consecutive wins and one draw. The expected goals for Teuta are notably high at 2.86, suggesting a dominant offensive performance is anticipated. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood.
In contrast, Partizani has struggled recently, suffering five losses in their last six matches, with an expected goals figure of just 0.51. While the model indicates a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is less likely at 38%. Historically, Teuta has not secured a win against Partizani in their last five encounters, recording three draws and two losses.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Teuta Durrës and Partizani expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Teuta Durrës and Partizani attack and defence ratings
Teuta Durrës
Partizani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 80.7% |
| Draw | 14.2% | |
| Partizani | 5.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.8% |
| No | 60.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win | 60.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 19.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 3-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-0 | 10.5% |
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani stats
Teuta Durrës and Partizani recent form
| Teuta Durrës |
LDWWWW |
| Partizani |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Teuta Durrës and Partizani season so far
Teuta Durrës record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Partizani record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teuta Durrës vs Partizani head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Partizani | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Teuta Durrës | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2026-01-19 | Partizani | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Teuta Durrës | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Partizani | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.