AF Elbasani
vs
Partizani
Garuda Lions Prediction: AF Elbasani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.25.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AF Elbasani vs Partizani
| Probability | AF Elbasani | Draw | Partizani |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.8% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.8% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AF Elbasani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.25.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani match preview
AF Elbasani enters the match against Partizani with a strong probability of winning at 65%, while Partizani holds a lower chance at 16%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of AF Elbasani, with an expected goals tally of 2.55 for Elbasani compared to 1.25 for Partizani. Additionally, there is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 67%.
In terms of recent form, AF Elbasani has recorded a mixed set of results with one win in their last six matches (L-D-D-W-L-D), while Partizani has struggled significantly, losing four of their last six (L-L-L-L-W-L). The head-to-head record favors AF Elbasani, who has won twice and drawn twice in their last four encounters against Partizani.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AF Elbasani and Partizani expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
AF Elbasani and Partizani attack and defence ratings
AF Elbasani
Partizani
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
AF Elbasani vs Partizani markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 64.8% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Partizani | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.5% |
| No | 33.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 44.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 35.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.7% |
AF Elbasani vs Partizani stats
AF Elbasani and Partizani recent form
| AF Elbasani |
LDDWLD |
| Partizani |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AF Elbasani and Partizani season so far
AF Elbasani record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Partizani record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AF Elbasani vs Partizani head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | AF Elbasani | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Partizani | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-28 | AF Elbasani | Partizani | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Partizani | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.