Albania Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 8

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce

Garuda Lions Prediction: Skenderbeu Korce

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Arena e Demave, Tirana

Partizani 35%
Draw 26%
Skenderbeu Korce 39%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Skenderbeu Korce wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
63%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPartizaniDrawSkenderbeu Korce
Model34.7%26.0%39.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final34.7%26.0%39.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce match preview

Partizani faces Skenderbeu Korce in the Albania Superliga, with the model indicating a competitive match. Partizani has a 35% chance of winning, while Skenderbeu Korce holds a slight edge at 39%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2 in favor of Skenderbeu Korce, occurring with a 9% probability.

Both teams are experiencing mixed recent form, with Partizani recording three losses in their last five matches, while Skenderbeu Korce has won one, lost three, and drawn one. The expected goals for Partizani is 1.50, and for Skenderbeu Korce, it is 1.60. Additionally, there is a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Partizani ↓ / Skenderbeu Kor β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce expected goals

Partizani 1.50
Skenderbeu Korce 1.60

Total expected goals: 3.10

Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce attack and defence ratings

Partizani

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.70 +70%

Skenderbeu Korce

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Skenderbeu Korce 39.3% 2.54 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 60.7% 1.65 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Partizani34.7%
Draw26.0%
Skenderbeu Korce39.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.7%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.3%
Handicap -1Skenderbeu Korce win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss60.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce stats

Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce recent form

newest first
Partizani LLLWLD
Skenderbeu Korce WLDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Partizani and Skenderbeu Korce season so far

league record

Partizani record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skenderbeu Korce record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Partizani vs Skenderbeu Korce odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Skenderbeu Korce Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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