Skenderbeu Korce
vs
Laci
Garuda Lions Prediction: Skenderbeu Korce
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.99.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci
| Probability | Skenderbeu Korce | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 28.8% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.1% | 28.8% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Skenderbeu Korce
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.99.
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci match preview
Skenderbeu Korce faces Laci in the Albania Superliga, with a 47% probability of a Skenderbeu victory according to our model. The expected goals for Skenderbeu Korce stand at 1.47, while Laci is projected to score 0.99. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%.
Recent form shows Skenderbeu Korce with a record of W-L-D-D-L-L, while Laci has a mixed performance of L-L-L-W-L-W. The model indicates a 29% chance of a draw and a 24% probability of a Laci win. Additionally, there is a 44% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci attack and defence ratings
Skenderbeu Korce
Laci
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 47.1% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skenderbeu Korce | 47.1% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Laci | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.5% |
| No | 50.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Skenderbeu Korce win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 0-0 | 9.9% |
Skenderbeu Korce vs Laci stats
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci recent form
| Skenderbeu Korce |
WLDDLL |
| Laci |
LLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Skenderbeu Korce and Laci season so far
Skenderbeu Korce record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laci record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.