Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
Teuta Durrës
Garuda Lions Prediction: Teuta Durrës
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës
| Probability | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Teuta Durrës |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.8% | 30.0% | 37.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.8% | 30.0% | 37.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Teuta Durrës
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë faces Teuta Durrës in an upcoming Albania Superliga match, with kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Egnatia has a 33% chance of winning, while Teuta is slightly favored at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.17 for Egnatia and 1.26 for Teuta. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Egnatia recording a recent run of D-W-D-W-W-L and Teuta on an impressive W-W-W-W-W-W streak.
In terms of scoring, there is a 51% probability that both teams will find the net, while the likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals stands at 44%. Historically, in their last four encounters, Egnatia has secured three wins compared to Teuta's single victory, suggesting a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës attack and defence ratings
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Teuta Durrës
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Teuta Durrës | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 32.8% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Teuta Durrës | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Teuta Durrës win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-1 | 9.8% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës stats
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës recent form
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
DWDWWL |
| Teuta Durrës |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Teuta Durrës season so far
Egnatia Rrogozhinë record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teuta Durrës record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Teuta Durrës | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 3-2 |
| 2026-03-09 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-23 | Teuta Durrës | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.