Dinamo Tirana
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Egnatia Rrogozhinë is the favourite, not a value bet.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Probability | Dinamo Tirana | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 25.8% | 37.2% |
| Market | 27.6% | 27.6% | 44.7% |
| Final | 30.0% | 27.2% | 42.8% |
| Edge | +2.3% | -0.5% | -1.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.1% per unit staked (our 42.8% × 2.10 − 1).
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë match preview
Dinamo Tirana faces Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the Albania Superliga with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Dinamo Tirana has a 34% chance of winning, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with expected goals of 1.57 for Dinamo Tirana and 1.74 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Recent form indicates that Dinamo Tirana has recorded two losses followed by three consecutive wins, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë has experienced a mix of results with three wins, a draw, and one loss. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 64%, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 66%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Tirana
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 42.8% | 2.33 | -1.9% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 30.0% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% |
| No | 36.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 18.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats
Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
| Dinamo Tirana |
LLWWWW |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
DWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Tirana and Egnatia Rrogozhinë season so far
Dinamo Tirana record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Dinamo Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Dinamo Tirana | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dinamo Tirana vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 27.6%, away 44.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.30 | 3.22 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.22 | 3.22 | 2.00 |