AF Elbasani
vs
Laci
Garuda Lions Prediction: AF Elbasani
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
AF Elbasani vs Laci overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AF Elbasani vs Laci
| Probability | AF Elbasani | Draw | Laci |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 30.3% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 30.3% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AF Elbasani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.94.
AF Elbasani vs Laci match preview
AF Elbasani is set to face Laci in the Albania Superliga with a 45% probability of victory according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at a rate of 12%. AF Elbasani has shown a mixed recent form with their last five matches resulting in two draws, two losses, and one win. In contrast, Laci's recent performances have been less consistent, with two wins and four losses in their last six matches.
The expected goals for AF Elbasani stand at 1.35, while Laci is projected to score 0.94. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40%, and both teams scoring has a probability of 46%. The last head-to-head encounter ended in a draw, with neither team securing a win. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AF Elbasani and Laci expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
AF Elbasani and Laci attack and defence ratings
AF Elbasani
Laci
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
AF Elbasani vs Laci markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AF Elbasani | 44.9% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Laci | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | AF Elbasani win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
AF Elbasani vs Laci stats
AF Elbasani and Laci recent form
| AF Elbasani |
DLDDWL |
| Laci |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AF Elbasani and Laci season so far
AF Elbasani record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Laci record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AF Elbasani vs Laci head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Laci | AF Elbasani | Albania Superliga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.