Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
Dinamo Tirana
1 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | E. Murataj | ||
| 60′ | D. MetajI. Manellari | ||
| 61′ | K. QatoTunkara | ||
| 61′ | S. UldedajE. O. Nwokporo | ||
| 67′ | E. O. Nwokporo | ||
| 77′ | Dinamo Tirana | ||
| 89′ | Vllaznia Shkodër | ||
| 90′ | Dinamo Tirana |
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana
| Probability | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.7% | 19.5% | 65.8% |
| Market | 27.4% | 28.6% | 44.1% |
| Final | 24.2% | 26.3% | 49.5% |
| Edge | -3.2% | -2.3% | +5.4% |
Why Dinamo Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dinamo Tirana below our published probability: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.50
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings
Vllaznia Shkodër
Dinamo Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana: result vs prediction
Vllaznia Shkodër 1 – 0 Dinamo Tirana
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 49.5% | 2.02 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 24.2% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 49.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win | 44.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 34.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.6% |
| 0-2 | 8.8% | |
| 1-1 | 8.7% |
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana stats
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana recent form
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
LLLDDL |
| Dinamo Tirana |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana going into this match
Vllaznia Shkodër record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Tirana record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-08 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Cup | 4-3 |
| 2025-04-12 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Superliga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 28.6%, away 44.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.39 | 3.16 | 2.01 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.16 | 1.99 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .