Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
Dinamo Tirana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Tirana
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana
| Probability | Vllaznia Shkodër | Draw | Dinamo Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 19.6% | 65.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.8% | 19.6% | 65.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dinamo Tirana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana match preview
Vllaznia Shkodër faces Dinamo Tirana in the Albania Superliga with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Dinamo Tirana victory, assigning them a 66% probability of winning, while Vllaznia Shkodër has a 15% chance. The expected goals suggest a significant advantage for Dinamo Tirana, with 2.40 expected goals compared to Vllaznia's 1.09.
Recent form shows Vllaznia Shkodër struggling with three consecutive losses, while Dinamo Tirana has won three of their last four matches. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana attack and defence ratings
Vllaznia Shkodër
Dinamo Tirana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 14.8% |
| Draw | 19.6% | |
| Dinamo Tirana | 65.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 34.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win | 44.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.6% |
| 0-2 | 8.8% | |
| 1-1 | 8.8% |
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana stats
Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana recent form
| Vllaznia Shkodër |
LLLDDL |
| Dinamo Tirana |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Dinamo Tirana | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.