Laci
vs
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Garuda Lions Prediction: Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
| Probability | Laci | Draw | Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 23.5% | 48.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.2% | 23.5% | 48.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.49.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë match preview
In the upcoming Albania Superliga match, Laci hosts Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The model probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with Egnatia Rrogozhinë favored at 48%, while Laci stands at 28% and a draw at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Egnatia, with a 9% likelihood.
Both teams show a propensity for goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. Expected goals indicate Laci at 1.49 and Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 1.99. Recent form reflects Laci's mixed results with a record of L-W-L-W-D, while Egnatia has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.48
Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack and defence ratings
Laci
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Laci | 28.2% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 48.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 6.8% |
Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats
Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form
| Laci |
LWLWD |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.