Albania Superliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

0 – 2 Full time

30′D. Adjessa
30′A. Aleksi
46′R. BakalliI. Gruda
46′K. AjaziS. Kalaj
48′A. Yago
48′H. Tola
52′K. Loukili
59′D. AdjessaJ. Montenegro
61′H. TolaO. Cena
71′E. Sota
71′A. YagoE. Ndreca
71′A. AlbaneseI. Diabate
75′S. Bibo
80′Laci
81′K. Loukili
81′G. GuriO. Biba
83′K. LoukiliE. Bitri
87′E. NdubuisiD. Ogah
89′I. Diabate
90′Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Laci 25%
Draw 26%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLaciDrawEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Model28.4%23.6%48.1%
Market23.9%27.2%48.9%
Final25.0%26.3%48.7%
Edge+1.1%-0.9%-0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.50.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Laci ↓ / Egnatia Rrogoz → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals

Laci 1.50
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.98

Total expected goals: 3.48

Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë attack and defence ratings

Laci

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Attack 1.61 +61%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: result vs prediction

Laci 0 – 2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Albania Superliga

Before and after this match

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 48.7% 2.06 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.5% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.8% 1.47 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Laci25.0%
Draw26.3%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë48.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.5%
Under 2.532.5%
Both teams to scoreYes67.8%
No32.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.3%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)75.0%
Handicap -1Egnatia Rrogozhinë win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.1%
1-29.1%
2-16.9%

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë stats

Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë recent form

newest first
Laci LWLWD
Egnatia Rrogozhinë WLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Laci and Egnatia Rrogozhinë going into this match

league record before kick-off

Laci record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Laci wins 2Draws 7Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-11LaciEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga1-1
2025-01-10Egnatia RrogozhinëLaciSuperliga1-0
2024-10-30LaciEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga2-0
2024-08-25Egnatia RrogozhinëLaciSuperliga2-1
2024-04-20LaciEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga1-2
2024-03-05Egnatia RrogozhinëLaciCup3-1
2024-02-21LaciEgnatia RrogozhinëCup0-1
2024-02-10Egnatia RrogozhinëLaciSuperliga0-0
2023-11-28LaciEgnatia RrogozhinëSuperliga0-2
2023-09-23Egnatia RrogozhinëLaciSuperliga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.9%, draw 27.2%, away 48.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.82 3.32 1.83
Bet365 3.80 3.25 1.83
Betano 3.50 3.25 1.93
Betfair 3.90 3.30 1.85
Dafabet 3.55 3.30 1.93
Marathonbet 3.72 3.32 1.81

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.76 ▼ -0.04
X 3.30 ▲ +0.05
2 1.84 ▲ +0.01

3 snapshots recorded, from .