Egnatia Rrogozhinë
vs
FC Midtjylland
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Midtjylland
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland
| Probability | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 25.1% | 40.4% |
| Market | 16.0% | 22.7% | 61.3% |
| Final | 20.6% | 23.3% | 56.1% |
| Edge | +18.5% | +2.4% | -20.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë faces FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with model probabilities indicating a 35% chance of a home victory, a 25% likelihood of a draw, and a 40% chance for an away win. The expected goals for Egnatia Rrogozhinë stand at 1.57, while FC Midtjylland is projected to score 1.71. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Egnatia Rrogozhinë has recorded three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while FC Midtjylland remains unbeaten in their last six games, with four wins and two draws. The probabilities suggest a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.28
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland attack and defence ratings
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
FC Midtjylland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
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- HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax — match page
- Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka
- Gent vs Aarhus — team news & stats
- Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe — team news & stats
- CSKA Sofia v Monaco — match page
- KuPS vs Trabzonspor
- Mjallby AIF v Inter Club d'Escaldes — match page
Before and after this match
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 56.1% | 1.78 | -20.9% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 20.6% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| FC Midtjylland | 56.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% |
| No | 34.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Midtjylland win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland stats
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland recent form
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë |
WLWWLW |
| FC Midtjylland |
DWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.0%, draw 22.7%, away 61.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.02 | 4.30 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 6.00 | 4.40 | 1.52 |
| Marathonbet | 5.80 | 4.15 | 1.51 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90 | 4.14 | 1.53 |
| SBO | 5.22 | 3.71 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .