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UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland

1 – 1 Full time

26′I. Gruda
33′Cho Gue-Sung
46′Hong Hyun-SeokK. Watjen
46′D. MartinezS. Iheanacho
46′Cho Gue-SungF. Etim
56′M. RajovicS. Johannesen
66′G. JaimeG. Smajli
66′A. AlbaneseI. Diabate
72′D. AdjessaJ. Montenegro
77′D. CastilloM. Uhre
81′K. LoukiliN. Ajetovikj
81′I. GrudaFernando Medeiros
86′Ibrahim Diabaté

Arena Kombetare, TiranaReferee: S. Ebner

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 21%
Draw 23%
FC Midtjylland 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
52 Possession % 48
2 Corners 6
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
3 Saves 4
328 Accurate passes 273

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEgnatia RrogozhinëDrawFC Midtjylland
Model37.6%26.2%36.2%
Market15.7%22.2%62.1%
Final21.2%23.2%55.6%
Edge+5.5%+1.0%-6.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Egnatia Rrogoz ↓ / FC Midtjylland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland expected goals

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.55
FC Midtjylland 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.06

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland attack and defence ratings

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.82 -18%

FC Midtjylland

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland: result vs prediction

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 – 1 FC Midtjylland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Midtjylland 55.6% 1.80 -6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.8% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Egnatia Rrogozhinë21.2%
Draw23.2%
FC Midtjylland55.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.1%
Under 2.540.9%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.4%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)78.8%
Handicap -1FC Midtjylland win17.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland stats

Egnatia Rrogozhinë and FC Midtjylland recent form

newest first
Egnatia Rrogozhinë WWLWWL
FC Midtjylland WDWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.7%, draw 22.2%, away 62.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.02 4.30 1.57
Bet365 6.00 4.33 1.50
BetVictor 6.00 4.10 1.50
Betano 6.30 4.45 1.57
Betfair 6.00 4.20 1.47
Dafabet 6.20 4.50 1.53
Marathonbet 5.80 4.15 1.51
Pinnacle 6.24 4.33 1.53
SBO 5.61 3.98 1.47
William Hill 5.80 3.90 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▲ +0.15
X 4.25 ▲ +0.13
2 1.52 —

14 snapshots recorded, from .