UEFA Europa Conference League · 2026-10-15T16:45:00Z UTC Full time ·League Stage - 1

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

1 – 1 Full time

26′			Oleksandr Romanchuk
46′			A. GarciaKiko Femenia
51′			João Lameira
56′			Alexandru Cicâldău
59′			DavinchiJ. Mojica
59′			A. Al Hamlawi
69′			M. MartinA. R. Alcantara
70′			S. BaiaramD. Matei
72′			Johan Mojica
75′			J. LameiraA. Cretu
75′			A. Al HamlawiS. Elisor
77′			Vladimir Screciu
81′			N. Gudelj
82′			R. TerratsS. Boselli
85′			A. CicaldauL. Basceanu

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, CraiovaReferee: D. Smajc

Universitatea Craiova

43%

Draw

28%

Getafe

29%

Confidence: Medium · blended with market odds

Match stats

12	Shots	13
4	Shots on target	3
43	Possession %	57
4	Corners	4
14	Fouls	13
0	Offsides	1
2	Saves	2
327	Accurate passes	471

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Universitatea Craiova	Draw	Getafe
Model	75.3%	18.0%	6.8%
Market	32.3%	31.4%	36.3%
Final	43.0%	28.0%	28.9%
Edge	+10.7%	-3.4%	-7.4%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Universitatea Craiova

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 0.54.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Universitatea Craiova below our published probability: +10.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

93%

2+ goals

77%

3+ goals

52%

No goals

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe expected goals

Universitatea Craiova

2.22

Getafe

0.54

Total expected goals: 2.77

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Craiova

Attack

1.27 +27%

Defence

0.61 -39%

Getafe

Attack

0.75 -25%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe: result vs prediction

Universitatea Craiova 1 – 1 Getafe

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

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Before and after this match

Universitatea Craiova, previous: Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova analysis
Universitatea Craiova, next: Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction
Getafe, previous: Barcelona v Getafe analysis
Getafe, next: Getafe – Rayo Vallecano, 2026-10-19

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Universitatea Craiova	43.0%	2.32	+10.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%	1.91	—	—
Both teams to score	No	62.0%	1.61	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.0%	1.39	—	—
Handicap -1	Universitatea Craiova win	51.7%	1.93	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Universitatea Craiova	43.0%
	Draw	28.0%
	Getafe	28.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52.2%
	Under 2.5	47.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	38.0%
	No	62.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	71.1%
	12 (either side)	72.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	57.0%
Handicap -1	Universitatea Craiova win	51.7%
	Push (exactly one goal)	23.5%
	Loss	24.7%
Correct score (top 3)	2-0	15.6%
	1-0	13.2%
	3-0	11.5%

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe stats

Universitatea Craiova and Getafe recent form

newest first

Universitatea Craiova	WWWWDL
Getafe	LWLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 31.4%, away 36.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.93	3.10	2.69
Bet365	3.00	3.00	2.55
BetVictor	2.90	3.00	2.50
Betano	3.05	3.10	2.52
Betfair	2.70	3.00	2.70
Dafabet	3.00	3.10	2.60
Marathonbet	2.82	2.99	2.59
Pinnacle	3.08	3.08	2.57
SBO	2.60	2.92	2.60
William Hill	2.70	2.90	2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.92 ▼ -0.08

X 3.00 ▼ -0.22

2 2.59 ▲ +0.27

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-09T08:10:02Z.