Universitatea Craiova
vs
Getafe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitatea Craiova
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe
| Probability | Universitatea Craiova | Draw | Getafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.5% | 20.3% | 9.2% |
| Market | 31.0% | 28.9% | 40.1% |
| Final | 40.9% | 26.8% | 32.4% |
| Edge | +39.5% | -8.6% | -30.9% |
Why Universitatea Craiova
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Universitatea Craiova below the model: +39.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.16, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe match preview
Universitatea Craiova enters the match against Getafe with a strong probability of winning at 71%, reflecting their recent form of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches. The expected goals for Craiova stand at 2.09, indicating a solid offensive performance, while Getafe's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.63, showcasing their struggles in attack.
Getafe's recent form shows a less favorable trend, with one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. The likelihood of a draw is at 20%, while the chances of a Getafe victory sit at only 9%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0 in favor of Universitatea Craiova, with a 14% probability, and there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Universitatea Craiova and Getafe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Universitatea Craiova and Getafe attack and defence ratings
Universitatea Craiova
Getafe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitatea Craiova | 40.9% | 2.45 | +39.5% | 3.16 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitatea Craiova | 40.9% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Getafe | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.0% |
| No | 58.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win | 46.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 29.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 3-0 | 10.0% |
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe stats
Universitatea Craiova and Getafe recent form
| Universitatea Craiova |
WWWDLW |
| Getafe |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 28.9%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.11 | 3.21 | 2.48 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.20 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16 | 3.23 | 2.33 |
| SBO | 2.72 | 2.87 | 2.31 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .