Liga I · ·Matchday 11

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova

Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitatea Craiova

0 – 2 Predicted score · 13% model probability

Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe

Csikszereda 10%
Draw 18%
Universitatea Craiova 72%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Universitatea Craiova wins
72%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
47%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
13% of simulated outcomes

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCsikszeredaDrawUniversitatea Craiova
Model10.2%19.9%69.9%
Market9.7%17.2%73.1%
Final9.8%17.8%72.3%
Edge+0.5%+2.7%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitatea Craiova

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova match preview

In the upcoming Liga I match, Csikszereda faces Universitatea Craiova, with the latter holding a significant advantage according to our model. Csikszereda has struggled recently, recording five losses and one draw in their last six matches, while Universitatea Craiova has shown stronger form with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The expected goals for Csikszereda is 0.73, compared to 2.19 for Universitatea Craiova, indicating a considerable disparity in offensive capabilities.

Our model suggests a most likely scoreline of 0-2, with a 13% probability, and an overall 56% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Both teams are forecasted to score with a 47% likelihood, but given the recent performances and head-to-head results, Universitatea Craiova appears to be the clear favorite.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Csikszereda ↓ / Universitatea → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 9% 9% 1 9% 9% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova expected goals

Csikszereda 0.73
Universitatea Craiova 2.19

Total expected goals: 2.92

Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova attack and defence ratings

Csikszereda

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Universitatea Craiova

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Craiova 72.3% 1.38 -3.2% 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.2% 1.11 — —
Handicap -1 Universitatea Craiova win 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Csikszereda9.8%
Draw17.8%
Universitatea Craiova72.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.7%
12 (either side)82.2%
X2 (draw or away)90.2%
Handicap -1Universitatea Craiova win46.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss30.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-212.9%
0-110.9%
1-19.5%

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova stats

Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova season so far

league record

Csikszereda record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Craiova record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Csikszereda wins 0Draws 2Universitatea Craiova wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-22Universitatea CraiovaCsikszeredaLiga I5-0
2025-08-17CsikszeredaUniversitatea CraiovaLiga I1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.7%, draw 17.2%, away 73.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.40 5.55 1.26
Bet365 8.00 5.25 1.28
BetVictor 9.50 5.25 1.25
Betano 9.25 5.10 1.29
Betfair 11.00 5.50 1.25
Dafabet 8.60 5.40 1.29
Marathonbet 9.40 5.55 1.25
Pinnacle 10.87 6.07 1.23
SBO 6.86 4.64 1.25
William Hill 9.50 5.00 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.40 ▲ +3.87
X 5.33 ▲ +1.33
2 1.25 ▼ -0.30

44 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Universitatea Craiova Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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