Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 11

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti

0 – 2 Full time

Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu Gheorghe

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 17%
Draw 24%
Dinamo Bucuresti 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDrawDinamo Bucuresti
Model18.8%28.6%52.5%
Market16.5%23.1%60.4%
Final17.1%24.5%58.4%
Edge+2.3%+5.5%-7.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Bucuresti

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sepsi OSK Sfan ↓ / Dinamo Bucures → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 11% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti expected goals

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.80
Dinamo Bucuresti 1.49

Total expected goals: 2.29

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti attack and defence ratings

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Dinamo Bucuresti

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti: result vs prediction

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0 – 2 Dinamo Bucuresti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Bucuresti 58.4% 1.71 -7.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.7% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.9% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.10 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe17.1%
Draw24.5%
Dinamo Bucuresti58.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.3%
Under 2.559.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.6%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)82.9%
Handicap -1Dinamo Bucuresti win27.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-113.9%
1-113.3%
0-011.3%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti stats

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Dinamo Bucuresti record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins 4Draws 0Dinamo Bucuresti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-30Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-1
2024-07-27Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDinamo BucurestiLiga I1-1
2023-12-04Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDinamo BucurestiLiga I2-1
2023-07-31Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I0-3
2022-11-08Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCupa României2-3
2022-03-20Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I0-0
2022-03-01Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-3
2021-10-31Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDinamo BucurestiLiga I4-1
2021-02-13Dinamo BucurestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I0-0
2020-10-24Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheDinamo BucurestiLiga I2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.5%, draw 23.1%, away 60.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.54 3.94 1.55
Bet365 5.25 4.00 1.48
BetVictor 5.75 3.90 1.50
Betano 5.50 4.05 1.53
Betfair 6.00 4.00 1.47
Dafabet 5.60 4.20 1.53
Marathonbet 5.60 3.94 1.53
Pinnacle 5.72 4.08 1.58
William Hill 5.50 3.70 1.57

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.