Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
vs
Dinamo Bucuresti
0 – 2 Full time
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
| Probability | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Draw | Dinamo Bucuresti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.8% | 28.6% | 52.5% |
| Market | 16.5% | 23.1% | 60.4% |
| Final | 17.1% | 24.5% | 58.4% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +5.5% | -7.9% |
Why Dinamo Bucuresti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti attack and defence ratings
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Dinamo Bucuresti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti: result vs prediction
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0 – 2 Dinamo Bucuresti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 58.4% | 1.71 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 17.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 58.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.9% |
| No | 56.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Bucuresti win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.9% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti stats
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti recent form
| LWLWDD | |
| WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti going into this match
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
Dinamo Bucuresti record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-30 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-27 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-04 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-31 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I | 0-3 |
| 2022-11-08 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Cupa României | 2-3 |
| 2022-03-20 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-01 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I | 1-3 |
| 2021-10-31 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 4-1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Dinamo Bucuresti | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Liga I | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-24 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.5%, draw 23.1%, away 60.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.54 | 3.94 | 1.55 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 5.50 | 4.05 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.60 | 3.94 | 1.53 |
| Pinnacle | 5.72 | 4.08 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.70 | 1.57 |