FCSB
vs
Oţelul
Garuda Lions Prediction: FCSB
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
FCSB vs Oţelul overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FCSB vs Oţelul
| Probability | FCSB | Draw | Oţelul |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 24.3% | 35.7% |
| Market | 66.5% | 19.8% | 13.7% |
| Final | 59.8% | 20.9% | 19.2% |
| Edge | -26.5% | +4.5% | +22.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FCSB vs Oţelul match preview
FCSB enters the match against Oţelul with a probability of winning set at 56%, while both teams share a 22% chance of a draw or an Oţelul victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of FCSB, with an 8% likelihood. The match is expected to see over 2.5 goals at a rate of 67%, and both teams are anticipated to score, with a probability of 69%.
Recent form shows FCSB struggling with a record of one win in their last six matches (L-D-L-L-L-W), while Oţelul has managed one win in their last six as well (L-L-L-D-W-D). In their last three encounters, FCSB has dominated, winning all matches against Oţelul without conceding. The confidence grade for this fixture is marked as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FCSB and Oţelul expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.45
FCSB and Oţelul attack and defence ratings
FCSB
Oţelul
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova — match page
- Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti — team news & stats
- Arges Pitesti v CFR 1907 Cluj — match page
- Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid
Before and after this match
FCSB vs Oţelul markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 59.8% | 1.67 | -26.5% | 1.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 59.8% |
| Draw | 20.9% | |
| Oţelul | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.5% |
| No | 31.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FCSB win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
FCSB vs Oţelul stats
FCSB and Oţelul recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FCSB and Oţelul season so far
FCSB record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oţelul record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FCSB vs Oţelul head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | FCSB | Oţelul | Liga I | 4-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Oţelul | FCSB | Liga I | 1-4 |
| 2025-09-28 | FCSB | Oţelul | Liga I | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-02 | Oţelul | FCSB | Liga I | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-26 | FCSB | Oţelul | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2023-12-03 | FCSB | Oţelul | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-31 | Oţelul | FCSB | Cupa României | 1-1 |
| 2023-07-29 | Oţelul | FCSB | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2022-11-10 | Oţelul | FCSB | Cupa României | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-09 | Oţelul | FCSB | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FCSB vs Oţelul odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 19.8%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.80 | 7.07 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.91 | 6.79 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.03 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .