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Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 11

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid

Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitatea Cluj

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Bet on Universitatea Cluj

Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca

Universitatea Cluj 36%
Draw 29%
Rapid 35%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Universitatea Cluj wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
52%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitatea ClujDrawRapid
Model38.1%29.6%32.3%
Market35.2%28.7%36.1%
Final35.9%28.9%35.1%
Edge+2.9%+0.9%-3.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitatea Cluj

  • The market prices Universitatea Cluj below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.66, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid match preview

Universitatea Cluj faces Rapid in a Liga I matchup where both teams have shown varying recent form. Universitatea Cluj has recorded three wins followed by three losses, while Rapid has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The probabilities indicate a closely contested game, with Universitatea Cluj at 36%, Rapid at 35%, and a draw at 29%.

The expected goals suggest a slight advantage for Universitatea Cluj at 1.30 compared to Rapid's 1.18. Our model predicts the most likely scoreline to be 1-0 in favor of Universitatea Cluj, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 52% chance that both teams will score, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 45%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitatea ↓ / Rapid β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid expected goals

Universitatea Cluj 1.30
Rapid 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.49

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Cluj

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Rapid

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Cluj 35.9% 2.78 +2.9% 2.66
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitatea Cluj35.9%
Draw28.9%
Rapid35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)64.1%
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win17.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-09.6%
1-09.6%
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Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid stats

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid recent form

newest first
Universitatea Cluj WWWLLL
Rapid WWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Cluj and Rapid season so far

league record

Universitatea Cluj record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Rapid record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Universitatea Cluj wins 2Draws 1Rapid wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Universitatea ClujRapidLiga I1-0
2026-04-05RapidUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-2
2026-01-31RapidUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-2
2025-09-12Universitatea ClujRapidLiga I0-0
2025-05-24Universitatea ClujRapidLiga I2-2
2025-04-19RapidUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-2
2025-02-01Universitatea ClujRapidLiga I2-1
2024-09-16RapidUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-2
2023-11-27RapidUniversitatea ClujLiga I2-3
2023-07-23Universitatea ClujRapidLiga I0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 28.7%, away 36.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.20 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.20 2.50
Betano 2.57 3.15 2.70
Betfair 2.55 3.40 2.55
Dafabet 2.55 3.20 2.65
Marathonbet 2.62 3.20 2.55
Pinnacle 2.66 3.27 2.63
William Hill 2.62 3.00 2.50
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 β–² +0.06
X 3.20 β–² +0.10
2 2.55 β–Ό -0.20

42 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Universitatea Cluj Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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