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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 4

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj

1 – 3 Full time

12′Stefan Dražić
42′Andrei Cordea
45′Alibek AlievJovo Lukić
45′Dan NistorMarius Stefanescu
45′Pedro PinhoMouhamadou Drammeh
51′Issouf Macalou
55′Oucasse Mendy
58′Adi NalićAndres Emil Sfait
62′Marius Şumudică
65′Oucasse Mendy
71′Issouf Macalou
73′Oucasse MendyJug Stanojev
74′Stefan DražićSergiu Buş
74′Andrei CordeaBillel Omrani
74′Viktor Gyorgy KunRenato Pantalon
75′Marius Stefanescu
83′Ervin OmicAmin Ziblim
88′Issouf Macalouadams friday
90′Mouhamadou Drammeh
90′Alexandru Chipciu

Dr. Constantin Rădulescu, Cluj NapocaReferee: Horia Gabriel Mladinovici

CFR 1907 Cluj 41%
Draw 27%
Universitatea Cluj 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
38 Possession % 62
4 Corners 4
11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
217 Accurate passes 394

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCFR 1907 ClujDrawUniversitatea Cluj
Model49.5%24.3%26.2%
Market38.3%28.1%33.6%
Final41.1%27.1%31.7%
Edge+11.2%-3.8%-7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why CFR 1907 Cluj

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.35.
  • The market prices CFR 1907 Cluj below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CFR 1907 Cluj ↓ / Universitatea → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj expected goals

CFR 1907 Cluj 1.91
Universitatea Cluj 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.26

CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj attack and defence ratings

CFR 1907 Cluj

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Universitatea Cluj

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj: result vs prediction

CFR 1907 Cluj 1 – 3 Universitatea Cluj

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CFR 1907 Cluj 41.1% 2.43 +11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.5% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CFR 1907 Cluj41.1%
Draw27.1%
Universitatea Cluj31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1CFR 1907 Cluj win28.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss50.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
2-19.4%
2-07.0%

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj stats

CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj recent form

newest first
CFR 1907 Cluj WLDWWL
Universitatea Cluj WWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj going into this match

league record before kick-off

CFR 1907 Cluj record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4CFR 1907 Cluj wins 2Draws 4Universitatea Cluj wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25CFR 1907 ClujUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-0
2026-03-16Universitatea ClujCFR 1907 ClujLiga I2-1
2026-02-07CFR 1907 ClujUniversitatea ClujLiga I3-2
2025-09-29Universitatea ClujCFR 1907 ClujLiga I2-2
2025-05-03CFR 1907 ClujUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-0
2025-03-31Universitatea ClujCFR 1907 ClujLiga I1-0
2024-12-09Universitatea ClujCFR 1907 ClujLiga I3-2
2024-08-04CFR 1907 ClujUniversitatea ClujLiga I2-3
2023-12-21CFR 1907 ClujUniversitatea ClujLiga I4-0
2023-11-02Universitatea ClujCFR 1907 ClujCupa României1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 28.1%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.20 2.92
1xBet 2.41 3.26 2.74
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.50
Bet365 2.35 3.30 2.62
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.70
Betano 2.45 3.20 2.77
Betfair 2.45 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.40 3.45 2.75
Marathonbet 2.41 3.26 2.74
Pinnacle 2.49 3.35 2.87
SBO 2.26 3.02 2.52
William Hill 2.40 3.10 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▲ +0.41
X 3.28 ▼ -0.02
2 2.75 ▼ -0.75

92 snapshots recorded, from .