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Liga I · ·Matchday 11

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Garuda Lions Prediction: Arges Pitesti

1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

Bet on Arges Pitesti
Arges Pitesti 36%
Draw 31%
CFR 1907 Cluj 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Arges Pitesti wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArges PitestiDrawCFR 1907 Cluj
Model39.1%30.5%30.3%
Market35.1%30.6%34.3%
Final36.1%30.6%33.3%
Edge+4.0%-0.1%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Arges Pitesti

  • The market prices Arges Pitesti below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj match preview

Arges Pitesti faces CFR 1907 Cluj in their upcoming Liga I match, with the probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Arges Pitesti has a 36% chance of winning, while CFR 1907 Cluj stands at 33%, and a draw is rated at 31%. The expected goals suggest a slight edge for Arges Pitesti at 1.26 compared to CFR 1907 Cluj's 1.08.

In terms of recent form, Arges Pitesti has struggled with five matches without a win, recording four losses and one draw, while CFR 1907 Cluj has shown more resilience with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0 in favor of Arges Pitesti, with a 49% chance that both teams will score during the match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arges Pitesti ↓ / CFR 1907 Cluj → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals

Arges Pitesti 1.26
CFR 1907 Cluj 1.08

Total expected goals: 2.34

Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj attack and defence ratings

Arges Pitesti

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 0.95 -5%

CFR 1907 Cluj

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arges Pitesti 36.1% 2.77 +4.0% 2.75
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.4% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.0% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arges Pitesti36.1%
Draw30.6%
CFR 1907 Cluj33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.5%
Under 2.558.5%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)63.9%
Handicap -1Arges Pitesti win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss61.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.9%
1-010.8%
Compare prices for this pick

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj stats

Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form

newest first
Arges Pitesti LDLLLD
CFR 1907 Cluj LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arges Pitesti and CFR 1907 Cluj season so far

league record

Arges Pitesti record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CFR 1907 Cluj record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Arges Pitesti wins 2Draws 6CFR 1907 Cluj wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-22CFR 1907 ClujArges PitestiLiga I1-1
2026-04-17Arges PitestiCFR 1907 ClujLiga I0-1
2025-11-29Arges PitestiCFR 1907 ClujLiga I3-0
2025-07-27CFR 1907 ClujArges PitestiLiga I0-2
2024-10-29Arges PitestiCFR 1907 ClujCupa României2-2
2023-04-06CFR 1907 ClujArges PitestiCupa României1-0
2023-02-19CFR 1907 ClujArges PitestiLiga I3-1
2022-09-19Arges PitestiCFR 1907 ClujLiga I0-1
2022-05-07Arges PitestiCFR 1907 ClujLiga I0-6
2022-04-04CFR 1907 ClujArges PitestiLiga I2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arges Pitesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 30.6%, away 34.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 2.97 2.70
BetVictor 2.60 3.00 2.63
Betano 2.62 3.05 2.70
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.70
Dafabet 2.60 3.05 2.70
Marathonbet 2.64 2.97 2.70
Pinnacle 2.69 3.07 2.73
William Hill 2.75 2.90 2.62
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.63 ▲ +0.20
X 3.02 ▼ -0.02
2 2.70 ▼ -0.27

42 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Arges Pitesti Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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