Farul Constanta
vs
Petrolul Ploiesti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Farul Constanta
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti
| Probability | Farul Constanta | Draw | Petrolul Ploiesti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 26.4% | 29.5% |
| Market | 48.9% | 26.2% | 24.9% |
| Final | 47.7% | 26.2% | 26.1% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +0.3% | +4.6% |
Why Farul Constanta
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.31.
Best available price on the pick: 1.92, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti match preview
Farul Constanta faces Petrolul Ploiesti in an upcoming Liga I match, with Farul holding a 48% probability of winning compared to 26% for a draw or an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for Farul Constanta stand at 1.64, while Petrolul Ploiesti is anticipated to score 1.31.
In terms of recent form, Farul Constanta has struggled, recording one win and five matches without a victory, while Petrolul Ploiesti has shown better form with four wins in their last six matches. The model suggests a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last three encounters, Farul has secured all three victories against Petrolul.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti attack and defence ratings
Farul Constanta
Petrolul Ploiesti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farul Constanta | 47.7% | 2.10 | -4.9% | 1.92 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% | 1.35 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farul Constanta | 47.7% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farul Constanta win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.5% |
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti stats
Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form
| Farul Constanta |
LWDDDD |
| Petrolul Ploiesti |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti season so far
Farul Constanta record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Petrolul Ploiesti record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Farul Constanta | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Petrolul Ploiesti | Farul Constanta | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Farul Constanta | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 26.2%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.56 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.55 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.71 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.06 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .