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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 11

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti

3 – 1 Full time

5′Cristian Ganea
22′Matteo Ahlinvi
33′Alejandro Bran
51′Victor Dican
63′Eddy SylvestreNarek Grigoryan
63′Eduard RadaslavescuRăzvan Marincean
63′Muhamet HyseniRazvan Tanasa
63′Luciano Gaston Vega AlbornozMario Ioniță
63′Sergiu HancaDele Ola
70′Dele Ola
75′Matteo AhlinviNicolas Popescu
78′Paul PappRareș Leescu
78′mark tutuTiberiu Căpuşă
78′Alejandro BranKilian Ludewig
89′Răzvan Marincean
89′Andres Dumitrescu

Stadionul Viitorul, OvidiuReferee: Horatiu Fesnic

Farul Constanta 48%
Draw 26%
Petrolul Ploiesti 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 6
40 Possession % 60
6 Corners 5
6 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 2
5 Saves 6
345 Accurate passes 347

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFarul ConstantaDrawPetrolul Ploiesti
Model44.1%26.4%29.5%
Market48.8%26.1%25.0%
Final47.6%26.2%26.2%
Edge-1.2%+0.1%+1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Farul Constanta

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.31.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Farul Constant ↓ / Petrolul Ploie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals

Farul Constanta 1.64
Petrolul Ploiesti 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.95

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti attack and defence ratings

Farul Constanta

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti: result vs prediction

Farul Constanta 3 – 1 Petrolul Ploiesti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Farul Constanta 47.6% 2.10 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Farul Constanta47.6%
Draw26.2%
Petrolul Ploiesti26.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.6%
Under 2.543.4%
Both teams to scoreYes60.0%
No40.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.8%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)52.4%
Handicap -1Farul Constanta win23.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.2%
1-07.5%

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti stats

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form

newest first
Farul Constanta LWDDDD
Petrolul Ploiesti WDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Farul Constanta and Petrolul Ploiesti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Farul Constanta record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Petrolul Ploiesti record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Farul Constanta wins 1Draws 1Petrolul Ploiesti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15Farul ConstantaPetrolul PloiestiLiga I2-0
2026-01-25Petrolul PloiestiFarul ConstantaLiga I0-1
2025-09-01Farul ConstantaPetrolul PloiestiLiga I2-1
2025-04-28Petrolul PloiestiFarul ConstantaLiga I0-1
2025-02-03Farul ConstantaPetrolul PloiestiLiga I2-1
2024-09-14Petrolul PloiestiFarul ConstantaLiga I1-1
2023-12-10Farul ConstantaPetrolul PloiestiLiga I3-1
2023-08-06Petrolul PloiestiFarul ConstantaLiga I3-2
2023-02-18Farul ConstantaPetrolul PloiestiLiga I2-0
2022-09-16Petrolul PloiestiFarul ConstantaLiga I1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 26.1%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 3.56 3.60
Bet365 1.80 3.30 3.70
BetVictor 1.83 3.50 3.75
Betano 1.91 3.50 3.65
Betfair 1.90 3.70 3.80
Dafabet 1.92 3.55 3.75
Marathonbet 1.90 3.56 3.58
Pinnacle 1.86 3.78 4.01
SBO 1.87 3.14 3.37
William Hill 1.85 3.50 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.89 ▼ -0.43
X 3.52 ▲ +0.38
2 3.67 ▲ +0.60

48 snapshots recorded, from .