FC Botosani
vs
Uta Arad
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Botosani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Botosani vs Uta Arad
| Probability | FC Botosani | Draw | Uta Arad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 27.3% | 27.5% |
| Market | 39.1% | 26.9% | 34.0% |
| Final | 40.6% | 27.0% | 32.4% |
| Edge | +6.1% | +0.4% | -6.5% |
Why FC Botosani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.19.
- The market prices FC Botosani below the model: +6.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad match preview
FC Botosani will host Uta Arad in a Liga I clash on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 42% probability of a home win for FC Botosani, while Uta Arad has a 31% chance of securing victory, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals suggest FC Botosani may score 1.58, compared to Uta Arad's 1.18. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of FC Botosani, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, FC Botosani has recorded a mixed set of results with one win in their last six matches (L-D-W-D-W-L), while Uta Arad has fared slightly better, winning three of their last six (W-L-W-W-D-L). Historically, in their last three encounters, FC Botosani has one win, while Uta Arad has two victories. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a blend of probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Botosani and Uta Arad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
FC Botosani and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- FCSB v Oţelul — match page
- Csikszereda v Universitatea Craiova — match page
- Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti — team news & stats
- Arges Pitesti v CFR 1907 Cluj — match page
- Universitatea Cluj vs Rapid
Before and after this match
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 40.6% | 2.46 | +6.1% | 2.41 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 40.6% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Uta Arad | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Botosani win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad stats
FC Botosani and Uta Arad recent form
| FC Botosani |
LDWDWL |
| Uta Arad |
WLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Botosani and Uta Arad season so far
FC Botosani record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Uta Arad record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-06 | FC Botosani | Uta Arad | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-23 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-17 | FC Botosani | Uta Arad | Liga I | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-05 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-12 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 | FC Botosani | Uta Arad | Liga I | 2-2 |
| 2023-04-14 | Uta Arad | FC Botosani | Liga I | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Botosani vs Uta Arad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 26.9%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.44 | 2.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.44 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.69 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.05 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
43 snapshots recorded, from .