Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 11

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad

2 – 0 Full time

11′Sebastian Mailat
17′Lucas de Vega Lima
25′Denis Alberto Taroi
27′Denis Alberto TaroiMarinos Tzionis
45′Antoni IvanovJayson Papeau
56′Lucas de Vega Lima
65′Sota Mino
69′Alexandru Benga
71′Sebastian MailatMykola Kovtalyuk
71′Zoran MitrovŞtefan Bodişteanu
72′Lucas de Vega LimaCharles Petro
72′Samuel GueuletteDmitro Pospelov
79′robert badescuRoland Remus Patrik Sabau
79′Marius ComanIsmet Sinani
81′Enriko PapaMihai Bordeianu
81′Ştefan Bodişteanu
85′Hervin OngendaAlexandru Tiganasu
90′Dmitro Pospelov

Stadionul Municipal, Sfântu GheorgheReferee: Szabolcs Kovacs

FC Botosani 41%
Draw 27%
Uta Arad 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
54 Possession % 46
7 Corners 9
9 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 0
3 Saves 6
316 Accurate passes 238

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Botosani vs Uta Arad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC BotosaniDrawUta Arad
Model45.1%27.3%27.6%
Market39.2%27.3%33.5%
Final40.7%27.3%32.0%
Edge+1.5%+0.0%-1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Botosani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Botosani ↓ / Uta Arad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

FC Botosani and Uta Arad expected goals

FC Botosani 1.57
Uta Arad 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.76

FC Botosani and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings

FC Botosani

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Uta Arad

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad: result vs prediction

FC Botosani 2 – 0 Uta Arad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Botosani 40.7% 2.46 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Botosani40.7%
Draw27.3%
Uta Arad32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.1%
Under 2.547.9%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)59.3%
Handicap -1FC Botosani win23.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-19.3%
1-08.8%

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad stats

FC Botosani and Uta Arad recent form

newest first
FC Botosani LDWDWL
Uta Arad WLWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Botosani and Uta Arad going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Botosani record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Uta Arad record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Botosani wins 2Draws 5Uta Arad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I3-1
2026-02-15Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I2-1
2025-10-06FC BotosaniUta AradLiga I2-1
2025-04-05Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I1-0
2024-12-23Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I2-0
2024-08-17FC BotosaniUta AradLiga I1-0
2024-04-05Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I1-0
2024-02-12Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I2-2
2023-09-23FC BotosaniUta AradLiga I2-2
2023-04-14Uta AradFC BotosaniLiga I0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Botosani vs Uta Arad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 27.3%, away 33.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 3.44 2.70
Bet365 2.30 3.20 2.70
BetVictor 2.30 3.40 2.70
Betano 2.37 3.35 2.75
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.75
Dafabet 2.41 3.40 2.75
Marathonbet 2.35 3.34 2.77
Pinnacle 2.43 3.47 2.87
SBO 2.27 3.10 2.59
William Hill 2.38 3.30 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▲ +0.25
X 3.38 ▲ +0.17
2 2.75 ▼ -0.77

44 snapshots recorded, from .