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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 10

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

1 – 0 Full time

7′Alin Dobrosavlevici
45′Robert SilaghiVictor Daguin
45′Nacho HerasBoris Cmiljanić
55′Carl·DavordzieB. Oteliță
60′Victor Daguin
63′Marinos Tzionisomar sawy el
63′Jayson PapeauIsmet Sinani
68′Hunor. BatzulaRaul Cîmpean
72′Cascardo GustavoBogdan Ilie Vătăjelu
88′Din Alomerovicrobert badescu
90′Andrei Dorobantu

Arena Francisc Neuman, AradReferee: Radu Marian Petrescu

Uta Arad 51%
Draw 27%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
13 Corners 4
8 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 8
362 Accurate passes 336

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUta AradDrawSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Model52.5%27.0%20.4%
Market50.0%27.5%22.4%
Final50.6%27.4%21.9%
Edge+2.5%-0.5%-2.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Uta Arad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.94.
  • The market prices Uta Arad below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Uta Arad ↓ / Sepsi OSK Sfan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Uta Arad and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected goals

Uta Arad 1.63
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.57

Uta Arad and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe attack and defence ratings

Uta Arad

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: result vs prediction

Uta Arad 1 – 0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Uta Arad 50.6% 1.97 +2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.1% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Uta Arad50.6%
Draw27.4%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe21.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.4%
Under 2.552.6%
Both teams to scoreYes50.1%
No49.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.1%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Uta Arad win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-011.3%
2-010.2%

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe stats

Uta Arad and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe recent form

newest first
Uta Arad LWWDLD
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe WLWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Uta Arad and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Uta Arad record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Uta Arad wins 3Draws 5Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-18Uta AradSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-1
2025-02-24Uta AradSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-2
2024-10-19Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUta AradLiga I1-0
2024-01-27Uta AradSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I2-1
2023-09-04Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUta AradLiga I1-0
2022-12-02Uta AradSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-4
2022-08-07Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUta AradLiga I0-0
2022-04-16Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUta AradLiga I1-0
2022-02-05Uta AradSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-0
2021-09-19Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheUta AradLiga I0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 27.5%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.84 3.38 4.16
Bet365 1.80 3.25 3.90
BetVictor 1.80 3.30 4.10
Betano 1.87 3.35 4.10
Betfair 1.85 3.40 4.33
Marathonbet 1.82 3.34 4.35
Pinnacle 1.87 3.48 4.40
SBO 1.84 3.00 3.67
William Hill 1.85 3.25 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.28
X 3.34 ▲ +0.34
2 4.10 ▲ +0.72

24 snapshots recorded, from .