Liga I · 2026-09-21T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 10

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara

2 – 3 Full time

20′			Daniel Pirvulescu
22′			antonio manolache
30′			Teodor lungu
45′			Flavius iacob
45′			Mihajlo IvančevićFlorin Ilie
49′			Emmanuel Yeboah
51′			Miguel Silva
53′			Sérgio Ribeiro
57′			Andrej FabryGideon Uche Goodlad
57′			Renato EspinozaÁngel Nahuel Gillard
60′			Daniel Pirvulescu
61′			Andrezinho
62′			Gideon Uche Goodlad
64′			Denis Bordun
70′			Daniel PirvulescuHayatu Muhammed Hayatu
70′			Sérgio RibeiroDenis Lucian Hrezdac
70′			Teodor lunguRafael Brito
73′			Ángel Nahuel Gillard
75′			João PaulinoMatei Frunză
81′			Paul Iacob
82′			Miguel Silva
83′			AndrezinhoZe Turbo
90′			Patrick Fernandes
90′			Denis Lucian Hrezdac

Stadionul Oțelul, GalatiReferee: Rares George Vidican

Oţelul

38%

Draw

31%

Corvinul Hunedoara

31%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

25	Shots	18
7	Shots on target	7
60	Possession %	40
8	Corners	8
11	Fouls	23
4	Saves	5
355	Accurate passes	207

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Oţelul	Draw	Corvinul Hunedoara
Model	37.9%	33.3%	28.8%
Market	38.1%	30.4%	31.5%
Final	38.0%	31.2%	30.8%
Edge	-0.2%	+2.9%	-2.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

85%

2+ goals

61%

3+ goals

33%

No goals

15%

Oţelul and Corvinul Hunedoara expected goals

Oţelul

1.09

Corvinul Hunedoara

0.92

Total expected goals: 2.01

Oţelul and Corvinul Hunedoara attack and defence ratings

Oţelul

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.11 +11%

Corvinul Hunedoara

Attack

0.79 -21%

Defence

0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara: result vs prediction

Oţelul 2 – 3 Corvinul Hunedoara

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga I

Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — team news & stats · 2026-09-18
Rapid v Arges Pitesti — match page · 2026-09-18
CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani · 2026-09-19
Universitatea Craiova v FCSB — match page · 2026-09-19
FC Voluntari v Universitatea Cluj — match page · 2026-09-20
Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda · 2026-09-21

Before and after this match

Oţelul, previous: Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul: odds and pick
Oţelul, next: FCSB vs Oţelul prediction
Corvinul Hunedoara, previous: Corvinul Hunedoara v Universitatea Craiova analysis
Corvinul Hunedoara, next: Corvinul Hunedoara vs FC Voluntari: odds and pick

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Oţelul	38.0%	2.63	-0.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	67.5%	1.48	—	—
Both teams to score	No	58.8%	1.70	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.2%	1.45	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	62.1%	1.61	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Oţelul	38.0%
	Draw	31.2%
	Corvinul Hunedoara	30.8%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	32.5%
	Under 2.5	67.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	41.2%
	No	58.8%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.2%
	12 (either side)	68.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.0%
Handicap -1	Oţelul win	15.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.9%
	Loss	62.1%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	14.8%
	1-1	14.8%
	1-0	13.3%

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara stats

Oţelul and Corvinul Hunedoara recent form

newest first

Oţelul	LLDWDL
Corvinul Hunedoara	LLDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oţelul and Corvinul Hunedoara going into this match

league record before kick-off

Oţelul record

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Corvinul Hunedoara record

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Oţelul wins 1Draws 0Corvinul Hunedoara wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2024-05-15	Corvinul Hunedoara	Oţelul	Cupa României	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 30.4%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.50	2.90	2.99
Bet365	2.25	3.10	2.80
BetVictor	2.40	3.13	2.75
Betano	2.40	3.10	2.90
Betfair	2.40	3.10	2.90
Marathonbet	2.48	2.91	2.95
Pinnacle	2.61	2.93	3.10
SBO	2.19	2.96	2.80
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▼ -0.01

X 3.00 ▼ -0.10

2 2.90 ▼ -0.07

29 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T08:10:02Z.