Liga I
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Corvinul Hunedoara
vs
Universitatea Craiova
0 – 1 Full time
| 47′ | Mihajlo Ivančević | ||
| 51′ | Alexandru Cicâldău | ||
| 58′ | Assad Al Islam·Al HamlawiAime Steven Nsimba Labe | ||
| 60′ | Sérgio Ribeiro | ||
| 65′ | Sérgio RibeiroRoger Rodrigues | ||
| 66′ | Renato EspinozaÁngel Nahuel Gillard | ||
| 69′ | Monday EtimStefan Baiaram | ||
| 69′ | David MateiLuca Băsceanu | ||
| 81′ | Andrej FabryGideon Uche Goodlad | ||
| 81′ | Daniel PirvulescuHayatu Muhammed Hayatu | ||
| 82′ | Ion CararusRonaldo Deaconu | ||
| 86′ | Carlos MoraSamuel Teles | ||
| 86′ | Alexandru CicâldăuJoão Lameira | ||
| 88′ | Filipe Amaral Rino Coelho | ||
| 90′ | Gideon Uche Goodlad |
Corvinul Hunedoara
23%
Draw
28%
Universitatea Craiova
49%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 3 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 382 | Accurate passes | 474 |
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova
| Probability | Corvinul Hunedoara | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.4% | 32.9% | 30.7% |
| Market | 18.6% | 25.8% | 55.6% |
| Final | 23.0% | 27.6% | 49.4% |
| Edge | +17.9% | +7.1% | -25.0% |
Why Universitatea Craiova
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Craiova expected goals
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.09
Universitatea Craiova
0.98
Total expected goals: 2.06
Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Craiova attack and defence ratings
Corvinul Hunedoara
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.73 -27%
Universitatea Craiova
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova: result vs prediction
Corvinul Hunedoara 0 – 1 Universitatea Craiova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitatea Craiova | 49.4% | 2.03 | -25.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 23.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Universitatea Craiova | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitatea Craiova win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-0 | 12.5% |
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova stats
Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Craiova recent form
| Corvinul Hunedoara |
LDDWDD |
| Universitatea Craiova |
WDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Craiova going into this match
Corvinul Hunedoara record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Universitatea Craiova record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.9%, draw 25.7%, away 55.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.06 | 3.66 | 1.66 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 3.64 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 5.36 | 3.67 | 1.68 |
| SBO | 3.45 | 3.02 | 1.82 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.00 ▲ +1.30
X
3.60 ▲ +0.16
2
1.67 ▼ -0.28
13 snapshots recorded, from .